Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 21

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Batakan (Balikpapan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Borneo Samarinda		PSS Sleman

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.1	5.5
	1.47	4.2	5.6	Watch
	1.5	4.34	6.76
	1.51	4.11	6.19	Watch
	1.5	3.8	6
	1.45	4.2	5.84	Watch
	1.47	4.2	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.46)	4.14 ↑ (4.06)	5.93 ↓ (6.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borneo Samarinda
62.2%

Draw
22.3%

PSS Sleman
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

22.6%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

22.8%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borneo Samarinda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

PSS Sleman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borneo Samarinda than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSS Sleman than the current prediction. (-1%)

Borneo Samarinda - PSS Sleman Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Argawinata N. (G) 2. Ronaldo 24. Michiels D. 22. Nduwarugira C. 56. Fathurrahman F. 50. Enero 66. Hardiansyah D. 97. Berguinho 8. Hirose K. 23. Peralta M. 7. Matheus Pato	12. Alan (G) 5. Alhawari S. 4. Cleberson 19. Aryanto F. 6. Gomes K. 55. Hariono J. 8. Betinho 10. Vico 20. Simanjuntak R. 11. Gustavo Tocantins 7. Marcelo Cirino
Substitutes
11. Adsit G. 41. Cawor R. 63. Fasya D. (G) 15. Guntara L. 77. Habib A. 30. Harjito A. 68. Jusuf H. 88. Kuswardani D. 14. Lilipaly S. 12. Siswanto H. 55. Sonriza D. 6. Zikrak I.	9. Caraka H. 24. Cardoso N. 76. Dion D. 87. Figo A. 33. Hamisi W. 17. Ofosu-Ayeh P. 32. Rizky E. (G)
Coaches
Gomez J.	de Freitas U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Simanjuntak R. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Hardiansyah D. ⚽, Peralta M. (A),
22', Enero 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Enero ↓, Lilipaly S. ↑,
52', Hariono J. 🟨,
61', Marcelo Cirino ↓, Figo A. ↑,
62', Alhawari S. ↓, Cardoso N. ↑,
62', Simanjuntak R. ↓, Caraka H. ↑,
63', Matheus Pato ↓, Jusuf H. ↑,
68', Lilipaly S. 🟨,
70', Jusuf H. 🟥,
72', Alan ↓, Rizky E. ↑,
72', Gomes K. ↓, Ofosu-Ayeh P. ↑,
83', Hardiansyah D. ↓, Guntara L. ↑,
85', Vico 🟨,
90+2', Peralta M. 🟨,
90+2', Peralta M. ↓, Cawor R. ↑,
90+7', Gustavo Tocantins 🟨,
90+9', 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Borneo won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Borneo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Borneo is indisputable favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Borneo won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Borneo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.3:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Borneo Samarinda - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 62.8%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borneo Samarinda
Indonesian Super League
28.01.25	Bali United Pusam - Borneo Samarinda	3:2 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
23.01.25	Borneo Samarinda - Kaya	2:1 ✺
Indonesian Super League
19.01.25	Borneo Samarinda - Arema	3:1 ✺
14.01.25	Borneo Samarinda - Semen Padang	1:3 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
09.01.25	Buriram United - Borneo Samarinda	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWLL
- PSS Sleman
Indonesian Super League
26.01.25	PSS Sleman - Semen Padang	2:4 ✺
19.01.25	Persik Kediri - PSS Sleman	0:0 ✺
11.01.25	PSS Sleman - Persebaya Surabaya	3:1 ✺
27.12.24	PSS Sleman - Madura United	4:0 ✺
21.12.24	Persija Jakarta - PSS Sleman	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
12.09.24	PSS Sleman - Borneo Samarinda	1:1
14.03.24	PSS Sleman - Borneo Samarinda	0:1
17.09.23	Borneo Samarinda - PSS Sleman	1:0
18.03.23	PSS Sleman - Borneo Samarinda	2:1
12.12.22	Borneo Samarinda - PSS Sleman	0:0
Indonesian President Cup
11.07.22	Borneo Samarinda - PSS Sleman	4:0
07.07.22	PSS Sleman - Borneo Samarinda	0:2

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