Match Info

Date: 10 February 2022, Thursday


	Persela Lamongan		Persebaya Surabaya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	3	1.93
	3.5	2.95	2
	3.55	3.1	1.98
	3.85	2.94	1.95
	3.52	3.4	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (7.8)	3.08 ↓ (4.32)	1.97 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persela Lamongan
24.8%

Draw
29.3%

Persebaya Surabaya
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

20.9%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.2%

18.3%

76.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persela Lamongan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Persela Lamongan's performance.

Persebaya Surabaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Persebaya Surabaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persela Lamongan than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Persela Lamongan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (+31.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Persebaya Surabaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Persela Lamongan - Persebaya Surabaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 2 and 4).

Persela Lamongan is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Persebaya Surabaya is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Persela Lamongan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Persebaya Surabaya will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Persela Lamongan won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Persela Lamongan won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persela Lamongan
Indonesian Super League
05.02.22	Madura United - Persela Lamongan	1:1 ✺
01.02.22	Persela Lamongan - Arema	0:1 ✺
26.01.22	Persiraja Banda Aceh - Persela Lamongan	2:2 ✺
15.01.22	Persela Lamongan - Persija Jakarta	1:1 ✺
11.01.22	Persita Tangerang - Persela Lamongan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLTTL
- Persebaya Surabaya
Indonesian Super League
06.02.22	Persebaya Surabaya - Persipura Jayapura	0:2 ✺
02.02.22	PSIS Semarang - Persebaya Surabaya	0:0 ✺
29.01.22	Persebaya Surabaya - PSS Sleman	1:0 ✺
18.01.22	Bhayangkara - Persebaya Surabaya	2:1 ✺
14.01.22	Persebaya Surabaya - PSM Makassar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
21.10.21	Persebaya Surabaya - Persela Lamongan	1:1
Club Friendly
28.06.21	Persela Lamongan - Persebaya Surabaya	1:3
Indonesian Menpora Cup
03.04.21	Persebaya Surabaya - Persela Lamongan	0:0
Indonesian Super League
23.10.19	Persela Lamongan - Persebaya Surabaya	1:0
01.07.19	Persebaya Surabaya - Persela Lamongan	3:2
05.08.18	Persebaya Surabaya - Persela Lamongan	3:1
30.03.18	Persela Lamongan - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1

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