Match Info

Date: 23 October 2021, Saturday


	Persiraja Banda Aceh		Arema

	1	X	2
	10.5	4.1	1.32
	7.6	4.3	1.35
	9.14	3.73	1.36
	8.4	4.5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.91 ↑ (6.03)	4.16 ↑ (3.7)	1.35 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persiraja Banda Aceh
10.2%

Draw
21.9%

Arema
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

24.2%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

19.9%

74.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persiraja Banda Aceh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Arema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arema's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persiraja Banda Aceh than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arema than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arema could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Persiraja Banda Aceh - Arema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 2 and 7).

Persiraja Banda Aceh has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arema is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Arema is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Persiraja Banda Aceh won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Persiraja Banda Aceh won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persiraja Banda Aceh
Indonesian Super League
16.10.21	Persita Tangerang - Persiraja Banda Aceh	1:1 ✺
02.10.21	Persiraja Banda Aceh - Persija Jakarta	0:1 ✺
28.09.21	Persela Lamongan - Persiraja Banda Aceh	1:0 ✺
24.09.21	Persiraja Banda Aceh - Persipura Jayapura	1:2 ✺
18.09.21	PSIS Semarang - Persiraja Banda Aceh	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLLL
- Arema FC
Indonesian Super League
17.10.21	Persija Jakarta - Arema	0:1 ✺
03.10.21	Arema - Persela Lamongan	3:0 ✺
29.09.21	Persipura Jayapura - Arema	0:1 ✺
25.09.21	Arema - PSIS Semarang	0:0 ✺
19.09.21	PSS Sleman - Arema	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Premier League
11.09.13	Persiraja Banda Aceh - Arema	5:0
28.03.13	Arema - Persiraja Banda Aceh	2:1

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