Match Info

Super League - Round 20

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim (Padang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Semen Padang		Persita Tangerang

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.58	3	2.58	Watch
	2.65	3.21	2.78
	2.54	3.15	2.78	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.63
	2.78	3.15	2.54
	2.45	3.1	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.16)	3.09 ↓ (3.41)	2.65 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Semen Padang
35.7%

Draw
29.7%

Persita Tangerang
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

27.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Semen Padang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Semen Padang's form might have worsened.

Persita Tangerang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Semen Padang than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Semen Padang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persita Tangerang than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Persita Tangerang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Semen Padang - Persita Tangerang Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Persita will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Persita (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Persita (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Persita Tangerang will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Persita (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Oscario R. (G) 22. Botan K. 21. Diarra B. 10. Froese K. 4. Giraldo J. 9. Guillermo 15. Juliansyah F. 24. Meneses A. (C) 12. Simanjuntak S. 2. Tsouka R. 30. Wakaso A.	29. Rodrigues I. (G) 93. Andrejic A. 10. Bessa E. 20. Bueno R. 80. Caraka H. 15. Fathoni C. 8. Ganet P. 66. Jardel M. 5. Kozubayev T. 77. Matheus Alves 11. Toha M.
Substitutes
25. Afandi Z. . Agong W. 8. Ariansyah R. 89. Bachtiar A. (G) 99. Diego Mauricio 5. Gufron A. 7. Maicon Souza 86. Oropa A. 14. Saputra D. . Sentosa A. 31. Setiawan R. 63. Wahyudi R.	22. Alchoir F. 36. Djiaulhaq Z. 96. Kartika A. (G) 9. Nur Hardianto A. 69. Pamungkas R. (G) 44. Racic D. 92. Rindorindo A. 7. Rodriguez R. 99. Sahrul E. 30. Saputra A. 27. Zalnando
Coaches
Antonic D.	Pena C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Fathoni C. 🟨,
32', Meneses A. 🟨,
35', Toha M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Juliansyah F. ↓, Wahyudi R. ↑,
46', Diarra B. ↓, Maicon Souza ↑,
49', Ganet P. 🟨,
66', Matheus Alves ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
66', Toha M. ↓, Zalnando ↑,
76', Caraka H. ↓, Sahrul E. ↑,
79', Tsouka R. ↓, Ariansyah R. ↑,
79', Froese K. ↓, Diego Mauricio ↑,
82', Andrejic A. ↓, Racic D. ↑,
82', Bessa E. ↓, Rindorindo A. ↑,
90+4', Wakaso A. 🟨,
90+14', 1 - 0, Diego Mauricio (Penalty Awarded),
90+15', Diego Mauricio 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Semen Padang won 2.

Semen Padang is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Persita is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Persita may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Semen Padang has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Semen Padang won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Semen Padang won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Persita	4	2	2	0	8:6	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Semen Padang
Indonesian Super League
02.02.26	PSM Makassar - Semen Padang	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bali United Pusam - Semen Padang	3:3 ✺
11.01.26	Semen Padang - Persis Solo	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	PSIM Yogyakarta - Semen Padang	1:0 ✺
28.12.25	Madura United - Semen Padang	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTLLL
- Persita Tangerang
Indonesian Super League
30.01.26	Persita Tangerang - Persija Jakarta	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Persita Tangerang - Bhayangkara	1:1 ✺
09.01.26	Persita Tangerang - Borneo Samarinda	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Persis Solo - Persita Tangerang	1:3 ✺
30.12.25	Arema - Persita Tangerang	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
04.10.25	Persita Tangerang - Semen Padang	2:0
14.02.25	Semen Padang - Persita Tangerang	2:0
22.09.24	Persita Tangerang - Semen Padang	1:0
Indonesian Championship
28.11.18	Semen Padang - Persita Tangerang	3:1
05.09.18	Persita Tangerang - Semen Padang	1:1
04.05.18	Semen Padang - Persita Tangerang	1:0
Indonesian Super League
07.06.14	Persita Tangerang - Semen Padang	2:4

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