The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barito Putera 32.9%
Draw 26.1%
Bali United Pusam 41%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.9%
25.5%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
24.8%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barito Putera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barito Putera's form might have worsened.
Bali United Pusam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bali United Pusam's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barito Putera than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barito Putera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bali United Pusam than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bali United Pusam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
6.2%
31.2%
Barito Putera - Bali United Pusam Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Barito Putera will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Bali United will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Barito Putera: 38.8% – 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Norhalid N. (G) 24. Daffa A. 36. Alves Renan 4. Anderson Nascimento 22. Sasongko N. 13. Pradana B. (C) 6. Infantrie T. 8. Morelatto 7. Madinda L. 31. Murilo 9. Moreno Ciorciari J. J.
1. Adilson Maringa (G) 33. Andhika M. 20. Jaime 4. Dolah E. 24. Fajrin R. (C) 18. Agung K. 8. Maruoka M. 7. Saimima S. 10. Marie Privat J. B. M. 9. Kopitovic B. 47. Arjuna R.
Substitutes
3. Aditya Y. 85. Firly M. 59. Hendrawan W. (G) 71. Iskandar A. 2. Kaffa A. B. 20. Kahfi B. 16. Kamuru A. 28. Lessy B. 14. Nurzaidin N. 26. Pora R. 99. Santoso R. B. 18. Siringo N.
67. Aryantara K. (G) 99. Everton Nascimento 17. Hidayat T. 41. Jaya I. 71. Kamal L. 76. Lanang K. 2. Mannan A. 15. Pramana N. A. 11. Roni Y. 95. Rustapa F. (G) 42. Simon M. A. 6. Wilson B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ⚽,
20', Infantrie T. 🟨,
40', Anderson Nascimento 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Morelatto ⚽, Madinda L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Saimima S. ↓, Mannan A. ↑,
46', Jaime ↓, Wilson B. ↑,
46', Fajrin R. ↓, Roni Y. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Kopitovic B. (Pen),
57', Infantrie T. ↓, Pora R. ↑,
57', Daffa A. ↓, Kaffa A. B. ↑,
71', Sasongko N. 🟨,
72', Maruoka M. ↓, Everton Nascimento ↑,
74', 3 - 1, Mannan A. (Own goal),
78', Morelatto ↓, Nurzaidin N. ↑,
83', Murilo ↓, Kahfi B. ↑,
84', Madinda L. ↓, Siringo N. ↑,
86', Mannan A. 🟨,
90+7', Nurzaidin N. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 6).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Barito Putera won 2.
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
Bali United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Barito Putera won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 19:34 (average 1.2:2.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Barito Putera won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.3:1.5).