Match Info

AUSTRALIA: A-League Women - Round 18

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Location: Sam Kerr Football Centre (Perth)

Referee: Ghirardello G. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Play, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 5
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App


	Perth Glory		Western United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	3.4	1.8
	3.65	3.6	1.83
	3.93	3.7	1.89
	3.85	3.77	1.85	Watch
	4.04	3.54	1.86	Watch
	3.65	3.6	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↓ (4.09)	3.6 ↓ (3.9)	1.84 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perth Glory
24.3%

Draw
25.6%

Western United
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

23.6%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

22.9%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perth Glory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Western United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western United than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Western United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Perth Glory - Western United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dumont C. (G) 18. Foletta I. 29. Zogg O. 13. Thomas-Chinnama N. 6. Mckenna T. 11. Tathem N. 3. Palmer H. 23. Dalton I. 44. Brown K. 19. O'Donoghue S. 7. Wynne M.	36. Lincoln C. (G) 24. Sardo J. 4. Mihocic C. 18. Maher G. 8. Grove S. 28. Dehakiz I. 9. Eggesvik S. 5. Medwin A. 6. Logarzo C. 34. Zimmerman C. 15. Taranto A.
Substitutes
2. Anderson M. 25. Lincoln E. 10. Phonsongkham S. 21. Templeman M. (G) 27. Wainwright C.	22. Cerne A. 19. Cortellino A. 7. De Domizio K. 20. Hieda K. 26. Picak N. (G)
Coaches
Peters S.	Smith K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Brown K. ⚽,
28', Brown K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', Medwin A. ↓, Cerne A. ↑,
61', Zimmerman C. ↓, Cortellino A. ↑,
68', Logarzo C. 🟨,
71', Sardo J. 🟥,
81', 2 - 0, Brown K. ⚽,
83', Brown K. ↓, Lincoln E. ↑,
83', Foletta I. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
85', 3 - 0, Phonsongkham S. (Pen),
87', Logarzo C. ↓, De Domizio K. ↑,
87', Eggesvik S. ↓, Hieda K. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Western United is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Perth Glory won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.6:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Perth Glory won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perth Glory Women
Australian A-League Women
01.03.25	Newcastle Jets - Perth Glory	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Perth Glory - Wellington Phoenix	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Adelaide United - Perth Glory	3:0 ✺
01.02.25	Canberra United - Perth Glory	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Perth Glory - Brisbane Roar	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWLLW
- Western United Women
Australian A-League Women
01.03.25	Western United - Melbourne Victory	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Brisbane Roar - Western United	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Sydney FC - Western United	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Melbourne City - Western United	5:1 ✺
31.01.25	Western United - Western Sydney Wanderers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
21.01.25	Western United - Perth Glory	4:1
22.12.23	Western United - Perth Glory	1:0
14.10.23	Perth Glory - Western United	2:0
03.02.23	Western United - Perth Glory	1:3
01.01.23	Perth Glory - Western United	2:3

Perth Glory - Western United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide