Match Info

AUSTRALIA: A-League Women - Round 17

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Ironbark Fields (Melbourne)

Referee: Cooper I. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Play, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App


	Western United		Melbourne Victory

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	3.6	2.5
	2.48	3.88	2.57
	2.44	3.75	2.58	Watch
	2.44	3.64	2.6	Watch
	2.37	3.6	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.68)	3.69 ↑ (3.57)	2.55 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Western United
38.4%

Draw
25.2%

Melbourne Victory
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

25.8%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

25.3%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Western United - Melbourne Victory Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dall'Oste A. (G) 24. Sardo J. 4. Mihocic C. 18. Maher G. 8. Grove S. 9. Eggesvik S. 6. Logarzo C. 28. Dehakiz I. 5. Medwin A. 10. Johnson K. 15. Taranto A.	50. Newbon C. (G) 27. Curtis R. 3. Bunge C. 18. Morrison K. 66. Jancevski A. 13. D'Appolonia S. 10. Chidiac A. 15. Gielnik E. 23. Lowe R. 11. Flannery N. 9. Furphy H.
Substitutes
22. Cerne A. 7. De Domizio K. 20. Hieda K. 26. Picak N. (G) 13. Prakash A.	62. Candy G. (G) 7. O'Grady E. 24. Pickett L. 5. Sakalis S. 2. Wilson E.
Coaches
Smith K.	Hopkins J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Furphy H. ⚽,
41', Curtis R. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Gielnik E. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Morrison K. ⚽, Jancevski A. (A),
65', Curtis R. ↓, Wilson E. ↑,
68', Furphy H. 🟨,
71', Medwin A. ↓, Prakash A. ↑,
74', Dehakiz I. 🟨,
76', Furphy H. ↓, O'Grady E. ↑,
88', Johnson K. ↓, Hieda K. ↑,
88', Taranto A. ↓, De Domizio K. ↑,
90+3', Sardo J. ↓, Cerne A. ↑,
90+6', Wilson E. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Western United is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Melbourne Victory is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Western United have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Western United won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Western United won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western United Women
Australian A-League Women
16.02.25	Brisbane Roar - Western United	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Sydney FC - Western United	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Melbourne City - Western United	5:1 ✺
31.01.25	Western United - Western Sydney Wanderers	4:1 ✺
25.01.25	Adelaide United - Western United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWLWT
- Melbourne Victory Women
Australian A-League Women
16.02.25	Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Melbourne Victory - Sydney FC	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
17.11.24	Melbourne Victory - Western United	4:1
06.01.24	Melbourne Victory - Western United	1:4
22.10.23	Western United - Melbourne Victory	2:1
18.11.22	Western United - Melbourne Victory	1:0

Western United - Melbourne Victory: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide