Match Info

AUSTRALIA: A-League Women - Round 15

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Leichhardt Oval (Sydney) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Mitchenson R. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	17:00	10 Play, Paramount+
Hong Kong	14:00	HOY TV
United Kingdom	06:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
Usa	01:00	ESPN 3, ESPN App


	Sydney FC		Western United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.4	2.9
	2.1	3.55	2.95
	2.17	3.78	3.13
	2.12	3.71	3.08	Watch
	2.07	3.54	3	Watch
	2.1	3.55	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (3.16)	3.59 ↑ (3.49)	3 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydney FC
43.7%

Draw
25.6%

Western United
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.9%

26.2%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

25.6%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sydney FC's performance.

Western United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Western United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney FC than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sydney FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western United than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Western United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sydney FC - Western United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Mason-Jones B. (G) 4. Tumeth T. 16. Thompson J. 12. Tobin N. 14. Lemon A. 21. Johnson L. 6. Hollman S. 26. Caspers M. 22. Dos Santos I. 15. Hawkesby M. 20. Ibini P.	36. Lincoln C. (G) 24. Sardo J. 4. Mihocic C. 18. Maher G. 8. Grove S. 9. Eggesvik S. 6. Logarzo C. 28. Dehakiz I. 5. Medwin A. 10. Johnson K. 15. Taranto A.
Substitutes
40. Black J. (G) 3. Bryson F. 7. Farrow M. 18. Luchtmeijer A. 24. Tallon-Henniker C.	22. Cerne A. 1. Dall'Oste A. (G) 7. De Domizio K. 20. Hieda K. 13. Prakash A.
Coaches
Juric A.	Smith K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Logarzo C. ⚽, Dehakiz I. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Hawkesby M. ⚽, Caspers M. (A),
24', Johnson L. 🟨,
43', 1 - 2, Johnson K. ⚽, Logarzo C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Johnson L. ↓, Farrow M. ↑,
59', Farrow M. ↓, Luchtmeijer A. ↑,
60', Maher G. ↓, Cerne A. ↑,
60', Medwin A. ↓, De Domizio K. ↑,
69', Thompson J. 🟨,
70', Logarzo C. (Pen),
73', Caspers M. ↓, Bryson F. ↑,
80', Hawkesby M. 🟨,
81', Dos Santos I. ↓, Tallon-Henniker C. ↑,
87', Logarzo C. ↓, Hieda K. ↑,
90+6', Johnson K. ↓, Prakash A. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney FC Women
Australian A-League Women
31.01.25	Sydney FC - Adelaide United	2:3 ✺
24.01.25	Melbourne Victory - Sydney FC	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Sydney FC - Central Coast Mariners	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Sydney FC - Canberra United	2:0 ✺
10.01.25	Perth Glory - Sydney FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTWT
- Western United Women
Australian A-League Women
05.02.25	Melbourne City - Western United	5:1 ✺
31.01.25	Western United - Western Sydney Wanderers	4:1 ✺
25.01.25	Adelaide United - Western United	1:1 ✺
21.01.25	Western United - Perth Glory	4:1 ✺
17.01.25	Western United - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
08.12.24	Western United - Sydney FC	2:1
09.03.24	Sydney FC - Western United	3:1
14.01.24	Western United - Sydney FC	0:1
30.04.23	Western United - Sydney FC	0:4
16.04.23	Sydney FC - Western United	0:1
05.03.23	Sydney FC - Western United	3:0
11.01.23	Western United - Sydney FC	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney FC Women
Australian A-League Women
31.10.26	Brisbane Roar - Sydney FC	✺

Sydney FC - Western United