Match Info

AUSTRALIA: A-League Women - Round 20

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Ctrl cyber Pitch (Melbourne)

Referee: Durcau R. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App


	Melbourne City		Western United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.9	4.1
	1.65	4.1	4.1
	1.75	4.34	3.95
	1.66	4.33	4.3	Watch
	1.74	3.99	4.09	Watch
	1.65	4.1	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.61)	4.13 ↓ (4.2)	4.11 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne City
55.1%

Draw
22.4%

Western United
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

21.9%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

21.4%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Melbourne City - Western United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Mieres M. (G) 8. Apostolakis A. 5. Otto T. 13. Stott R. (C) 16. Roestbakken K. 19. Bosch L. 14. Hughes L. 6. McKenna L. 17. Speckmaier M. 10. Pollicina R. 9. McNamara H.	36. Lincoln C. (G) 24. Sardo J. 28. Dehakiz I. 18. Maher G. 8. Grove S. 9. Eggesvik S. 16. Taranto M. 6. Logarzo C. 15. Taranto A. 10. Johnson K. 5. Medwin A.
Substitutes
23. Barbieri M. (G) 7. Harvey K. 22. Henry B. 12. McMahon S. 27. Vlajnic T.	1. Dall'Oste A. (G) 7. De Domizio K. 11. Ibarguen S. 4. Mihocic C. 13. Prakash A.
Coaches
Matricciani M.	Smith K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, McNamara H. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Logarzo C. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, McNamara H. ⚽, Bosch L. (A),
38', 3 - 1, McNamara H. ⚽, Pollicina R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', McNamara H. ↓, Henry B. ↑,
59', 4 - 1, Pollicina R. ⚽, Speckmaier M. (A),
61', Taranto M. ↓, Mihocic C. ↑,
61', Taranto A. ↓, Ibarguen S. ↑,
61', Medwin A. ↓, De Domizio K. ↑,
71', 5 - 1, Bosch L. ⚽,
74', Pollicina R. ↓, McMahon S. ↑,
74', Speckmaier M. ↓, Harvey K. ↑,
78', Stott R. ↓, Vlajnic T. ↑,
82', Johnson K. ↓, Prakash A. ↑,
89', Roestbakken K. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Melbourne City is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Western United is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Melbourne City is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melbourne City won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:11 (average 1.2:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Melbourne City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 1:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne City FC Women
Australian A-League Women
01.02.25	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	0:1 ✺
17.01.25	Western United - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar	2:0 ✺
05.01.25	Sydney FC - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWTWT
- Western United Women
Australian A-League Women
31.01.25	Western United - Western Sydney Wanderers	4:1 ✺
25.01.25	Adelaide United - Western United	1:1 ✺
21.01.25	Western United - Perth Glory	4:1 ✺
17.01.25	Western United - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Canberra United - Western United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
17.01.25	Western United - Melbourne City	1:1
25.01.24	Melbourne City - Western United	1:3
05.11.23	Western United - Melbourne City	2:2
10.02.23	Western United - Melbourne City	2:1
17.12.22	Melbourne City - Western United	1:3

Melbourne City - Western United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide