The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newcastle Jets 45.6%
Draw 24.9%
Perth Glory 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.5%
25.5%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.5%
24.9%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Perth Glory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Newcastle Jets - Perth Glory Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Ritchie G. (G) 3. Cicco C. 4. Prior N. 15. Bates E. 7. Breier I. 13. Allan L. 10. Copus-Brown L. (C) 8. Dundas E. 11. Lancaster C. 14. Ayres M. 18. Hoban S.
1. Morrissey T. (G) 5. Johnston G. 29. Zogg O. 6. Mckenna T. 11. Tathem N. 27. Wainwright C. 23. Dalton I. (C) 3. Tovar E. 25. Lincoln E. 17. Badawiya R. 9. Hollar G.
Substitutes
26. Allan J. 50. Boertje A. (G) 44. Brown K. 30. Collins A. 9. Johnson H. M. 2. Wilson J.
2. Anderson M. 8. Cassidy G. 26. Lala T. 30. Skinner J. (G) 12. Trew B. 28. Westaway C.
Coaches
Hoyle S.
Peters S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Dundas E. ⚽,
31', Breier I. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Hollar G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', Lancaster C. ↓, Allan J. ↑,
60', Wainwright C. ↓, Westaway C. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Ayres M. ⚽, Allan L. (A),
68', 2 - 2, Westaway C. ⚽, Lincoln E. (A),
70', Allan L. ↓, Brown K. ↑,
72', Tathem N. ↓, Cassidy G. ↑,
72', Hollar G. ↓, Trew B. ↑,
77', Westaway C. 🟨,
84', Badawiya R. ↓, Lala T. ↑,
85', 2 - 3, Mckenna T. ⚽,
89', Copus-Brown L. ↓, Collins A. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 8)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 1.
Recent form of Newcastle Jets has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Perth Glory has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Newcastle Jets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Newcastle Jets might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 1.6:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle Jets won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).