Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 32

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Renato Curi (Perugia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251


	Perugia		Legnago Salus

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.7	5.25
	1.58	3.9	5.4
	1.57	4.13	5.3
	1.6	3.91	5.39	Watch
	1.55	3.6	5.8
	1.5	3.86	5.75	Watch
	1.58	3.9	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.5)	3.86 ↑ (3.74)	5.47 ↓ (6.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
59.2%

Draw
23.9%

Legnago Salus
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

24.6%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

25.5%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Legnago Salus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legnago Salus than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Perugia - Legnago Salus Predictions

Users Predictions: Perugia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gemello L. (G) 4. Leo D. 5. Angella G. (C) 13. Amoran P. 17. Cisco A. 6. Giunti G. 20. Joselito 98. Giraudo F. 3. Yabre M. 10. Matos 30. Marconi G.	91. Perucchini F. (G) 23. Muteba V. 26. Noce M. 27. Ampollini F. 4. Tanco G. J. 25. Bombagi F. (C) 6. Dore S. 8. Casarotti E. 93. Franzolini A. 9. Svidercoschi S. 99. Basso Ricci A.
Substitutes
33. Agosti L. 22. Albertoni M. (G) 29. Broh J. 15. Dell'Orco C. 7. Kanoute M. 44. Lewis N. 23. Lisi F. 94. Mezzoni F. 9. Montevago D. 67. Plaia M. 73. Polizzi M. 28. Riccardi D. 54. Romagnoli D. (G)	12. Bajari L. (G) 73. Ballan L. 29. Gazzola M. 5. Koblar L. 70. Leoncini M. 7. Morello M. 18. Peschetola L. 1. Rigon A. (G) 21. Ruggeri S. 17. Spalluto S. 31. Tonica D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', Dore S. 🟨,
20', Marconi G. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Cisco A. ⚽,
44', Ampollini F. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Matos (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Angella G. ↓, Riccardi D. ↑,
46', Dore S. ↓, Koblar L. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Noce M. ⚽,
57', Cisco A. ↓, Kanoute M. ↑,
57', Matos ↓, Broh J. ↑,
68', Svidercoschi S. ↓, Spalluto S. ↑,
68', Yabre M. ↓, Lewis N. ↑,
80', Marconi G. ↓, Montevago D. ↑,
80', Casarotti E. ↓, Leoncini M. ↑,
87', Tanco G. J. ↓, Morello M. ↑,
90', Bombagi F. 🟨,
90+1', Montevago D. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Perugia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Perugia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
11.03.25	Perugia - Sassari Torres	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Milan Futuro - Perugia	0:0 ✺
03.03.25	Perugia - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Virtus Entella - Perugia	1:0 ✺
17.02.25	Lucchese - Perugia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWLL
- FC Legnago Salus
Italian Serie C Group B
11.03.25	Legnago Salus - Rimini	1:3 ✺
08.03.25	Sassari Torres - Legnago Salus	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Legnago Salus - Milan Futuro	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Gubbio - Legnago Salus	0:3 ✺
16.02.25	Legnago Salus - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.9 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
03.11.24	Legnago Salus - Perugia	2:2
17.02.21	Perugia - Legnago Salus	4:0
21.10.20	Legnago Salus - Perugia	0:2

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