Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 33

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Renato Curi (Perugia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Perugia		Sassari Torres

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.92	3.1	Watch
	2.38	2.78	3.53
	2.28	2.88	3.31	Watch
	2.3	2.7	3
	2.28	2.73	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.13)	2.8 ↓ (3.39)	3.26 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
39.4%

Draw
32.6%

Sassari Torres
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

27.1%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

26.5%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Sassari Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassari Torres than the current prediction. (+1%)

Perugia - Sassari Torres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gemello L. (G) 26. Calapai L. 28. Riccardi D. 13. Stramaccioni D. 31. Tozzuolo A. 20. Tumbarello G. 21. Ladinetti R. 32. Megelaitis L. 98. Bolsius D. 77. Manzari G. 9. Montevago D.	12. Zaccagno A. (G) 13. Baldi M. 23. Antonelli N. 6. Nunziatini F. 16. Sala M. 24. Giorico D. 10. Mastinu G. (C) 27. Zambataro E. 7. Di Stefano L. 99. Sorrentino D. 9. Luciani P.
Substitutes
5. Angella G. 11. Bacchin L. 16. Bartolomei P. 10. Canotto L. 15. Dell'Orco C. 19. Dottori C. 2. Esculino I. 4. Joselito 23. Lisi F. 12. Moro L. (G) 90. Nepi A. 73. Polizzi M. 17. Terrnava D. 24. Verre V. 22. Vinti L. (G)	25. Bonin L. 4. Brentan M. 11. Diakite A. 26. Dumani S. 30. Fabriani C. 14. Idda R. 20. Lunghi A. 22. Marano M. (G) 8. Masala A. 44. Zanandrea G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Bolsius D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Bolsius D. ↓, Bacchin L. ↑,
61', Tumbarello G. ↓, Joselito ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Sorrentino D. ⚽,
66', Ladinetti R. ↓, Canotto L. ↑,
70', Manzari G. ↓, Verre V. ↑,
72', Baldi M. 🟨,
84', Giorico D. ↓, Brentan M. ↑,
84', Baldi M. ↓, Idda R. ↑,
84', Luciani P. ↓, Masala A. ↑,
90+2', Di Stefano L. ↓, Diakite A. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Perugia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Perugia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Perugia	8	4	1	3	9:12	-3	13
9	Torres	8	3	3	2	9:9	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
15.03.26	Arezzo - Perugia	1:1 ✺
09.03.26	Perugia - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Livorno - Perugia	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Perugia - Pineto	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Perugia - Carpi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWLT
- Sassari Torres 1903
Italian Serie C Group B
14.03.26	Sassari Torres - Ravenna	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Carpi - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Sassari Torres - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Forlì - Sassari Torres	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Sassari Torres - Vis Pesaro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
15.11.25	Sassari Torres - Perugia	1:1
11.03.25	Perugia - Sassari Torres	1:0
30.10.24	Sassari Torres - Perugia	2:1
18.02.24	Sassari Torres - Perugia	1:0
15.10.23	Perugia - Sassari Torres	1:1

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