Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 28

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Chiavari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Virtus Entella		Perugia

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	4.9
	1.86	3.25	5.46
	1.7	3.27	5.85	Watch
	1.7	3.2	5
	1.71	3.42	5.18	Watch
	1.65	3.3	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.44)	3.29 ↓ (3.92)	5.22 ↓ (6.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
54.1%

Draw
28.1%

Perugia
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

23.1%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

21.4%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Virtus Entella's form might have worsened.

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Entella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Virtus Entella - Perugia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Del Frate F. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 6. Tiritiello A. 15. Marconi I. 70. Bariti D. 7. Karic N. 21. Lipani J. 24. Franzoni A. 26. Di Mario S. 77. Guiu B. 9. Castelli D.	1. Gemello L. (G) 4. Leo D. 16. Bartolomei P. (C) 98. Giraudo F. 94. Mezzoni F. 29. Broh J. 20. Joselito 6. Giunti G. 23. Lisi F. 9. Montevago D. 7. Kanoute M.
Substitutes
10. Casarotto M. 14. Corbari A. 40. Costa G. 11. Fall M. 2. Garattoni A. 5. Motoc A. 43. Ndrecka A. 90. Portanova D. 99. Siaulys O. (G) 12. Torrielli E. (G)	22. Albertoni M. (G) 17. Cisco A. 84. Lickunas A. 30. Marconi G. 10. Matos 67. Plaia M. 28. Riccardi D. 11. Seghetti A. 24. Torrasi E. 33. Yabre M. 12. Yimga F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Giunti G. 🟨,
62', Bariti D. ↓, Garattoni A. ↑,
63', Guiu B. ↓, Casarotto M. ↑,
64', Mezzoni F. ↓, Cisco A. ↑,
64', Kanoute M. ↓, Seghetti A. ↑,
73', Joselito ↓, Torrasi E. ↑,
74', Lisi F. ↓, Yabre M. ↑,
75', Castelli D. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
76', Lipani J. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
81', Cisco A. 🟨,
83', Seghetti A. 🟨,
85', Di Mario S. ↓, Ndrecka A. ↑,
85', Montevago D. ↓, Marconi G. ↑,
88', Broh J. 🟨,
90+1', Tiritiello A. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 0, Karic N. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virtus Entella won 2.

Virtus Entella is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Perugia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Perugia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Virtus Entella is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Virtus Entella to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Virtus Entella won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:19 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Entella won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.7:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie C Group B
16.02.25	Legnago Salus - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Virtus Entella - SPAL	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Pescara - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Virtus Entella - Pianese	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Carpi - Virtus Entella	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWTWW
- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
17.02.25	Lucchese - Perugia	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Perugia - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Rimini - Perugia	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Perugia - Pescara	0:0 ✺
20.01.25	Gubbio - Perugia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
12.10.24	Perugia - Virtus Entella	0:1
05.03.24	Virtus Entella - Perugia	5:0
30.10.23	Perugia - Virtus Entella	2:1
Italian Serie B
24.07.20	Virtus Entella - Perugia	0:2
21.12.19	Perugia - Virtus Entella	2:0
20.01.18	Perugia - Virtus Entella	2:0
26.08.17	Virtus Entella - Perugia	1:5

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