Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia (Pescara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Arena


	Pescara		Catania

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.87
	2.32	3.15	3
	2.42	3.04	3.1
	2.46	3.03	3.05	Watch
	2.32	3.3	2.89	Watch
	2.32	3.15	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.13)	3.13 ↑ (3.05)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pescara
39.5%

Draw
29.5%

Catania
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.3%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

27.1%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pescara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pescara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Pescara - Catania Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pescara will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Catania will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Plizzari A. (G) 11. Cangiano G. 8. Dagasso M. 21. Ferraris A. 79. Lancini E. 7. Meazzi L. 10. Merola D. 27. Moruzzi B. 23. Pellacani F. (C) 77. Pierozzi E. 6. Squizzato N.	57. Dini A. (G) 33. Anastasio A. 3. Celli A. 15. Di Gennaro M. 7. Di Tacchio F. (C) 44. Guglielmotti D. 9. Inglese R. 10. Jimenez K. 23. Lunetta G. 16. Quaini A. 19. Raimo A.
Substitutes
9. Alberti T. 20. Bentivegna A. 16. Crialese C. 28. De Marco A. 5. Kraja E. 2. Letizia G. 26. Lonardi L. 12. Profeta N. (G) 30. Saccomanni G. 1. Saio I. (G) 25. Staver C. 15. Tonin R. 14. Valzania L.	63. Allegretto A. 1. Bethers K. (G) 77. Dalmonte N. 5. Del Fabro D. 11. De Paoli A. 6. De Rose F. 13. Farroni A. (G) 37. Forti C. 20. Frisenna G. 32. Montalto A. 21. Stoppa M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Anastasio A. 🟨,
36', Raimo A. 🟨,
42', Inglese R. 🟨,
45+4', Moruzzi B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Lunetta G. ↓, Stoppa M. ↑,
49', Di Gennaro M. 🟨,
53', Guglielmotti D. ↓, Dalmonte N. ↑,
62', Jimenez K. ↓, De Paoli A. ↑,
63', Cangiano G. ↓, Bentivegna A. ↑,
63', Ferraris A. ↓, Tonin R. ↑,
68', Quaini A. 🟨,
71', 0 - 1, Di Gennaro M. ⚽,
75', Dagasso M. ↓, Kraja E. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Tonin R. ⚽,
83', Moruzzi B. ↓, Crialese C. ↑,
83', Meazzi L. ↓, De Marco A. ↑,
88', Di Tacchio F. ↓, De Rose F. ↑,
88', Raimo A. ↓, Montalto A. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 2, Dalmonte N. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pescara won 2.

Pescara is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Catania is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pescara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pescara might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pescara won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pescara won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pescara
Italian Serie C Group A
11.05.25	Catania - Pescara	0:1 ✺
07.05.25	Pescara - Pianese	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
27.04.25	Pescara - Campobasso	3:0 ✺
23.04.25	Legnago Salus - Pescara	1:3 ✺
13.04.25	Pescara - Gubbio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWW
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group A
11.05.25	Catania - Pescara	0:1 ✺
07.05.25	Catania - Potenza	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Catania - Giugliano	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
27.04.25	Potenza - Catania	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Cavese - Catania	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
11.05.25	Catania - Pescara	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
13.12.23	Catania - Pescara	2:0
Italian Serie B
22.02.15	Pescara - Catania	1:0
28.09.14	Catania - Pescara	2:1
Italian Serie A
11.05.13	Catania - Pescara	1:0
21.12.12	Pescara - Catania	2:1

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