The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peterborough United 74.8%
Draw 15.7%
Carlisle United 9.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
72.5%
17.2%
10.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
95.7%
0%
4.3%
Peterborough United - Carlisle United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Peterborough United will win
(22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%). Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Steer J. (G) 2. Katongo J. 5. Knight J. 4. Edwards R. 3. Burrows H. (C) 8. De Havilland R. 27. Collins A. 11. Poku K. 14. Randall J. 10. Mason-Clark E. 18. Mothersille M.
40. Lewis H. (G) 18. Ellis J. 26. Barclay B. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 22. Mellish J. 3. Armer J. 21. McGeouch D. 15. Charters T. 33. Neal H. 35. Armstrong L. 11. Butterworth D.
Substitutes
16. Ajiboye D. 1. Bilokapic N. (G) 9. Clarke-Harris J. 6. Crichlow-Noble R. 20. Fernandez E. 17. Jones R.J. 15. Olakigbe M.
13. Breeze G. (G) 27. Diamond J. 32. Emmanuel J. 7. Gibson J. 34. Grehan S. 9. Kelly G. 10. McCalmont A.
Coaches
Ferguson D.
Simpson P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Ellis J. 🟨,
23', Charters T. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
27', 0 - 1, Mellish J. ⚽, Gibson J. (A),
33', Mellish J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 0 - 2, Mellish J. ⚽,
51', Katongo J. ↓, Ajiboye D. ↑,
52', De Havilland R. ↓, Clarke-Harris J. ↑,
52', Mothersille M. ↓, Jones R.J. ↑,
59', 0 - 3, Mellish J. ⚽, Lavelle S. (A),
62', 1 - 3, Randall J. ⚽, Burrows H. (A),
66', Butterworth D. ↓, McCalmont A. ↑,
72', Randall J. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
78', Ellis J. ↓, Emmanuel J. ↑,
78', McGeouch D. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
79', Poku K. ↓, Olakigbe M. ↑,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Peterborough is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Carlisle has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Peterborough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Peterborough have a series of home games.
In this match Peterborough is certain favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Peterborough won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.
Watch
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Steer J. (G) 
Poku K. 
Lavelle S. (C) 
Bilokapic N. (G) 
Clarke-Harris J. 
Grehan S. 
McCalmont A. 
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