The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peterborough United 57.9%
Draw 23.8%
Port Vale 18.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.4%
27.1%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.6%
25.8%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterborough United's performance.
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Port Vale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Port Vale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
79.3%
3.4%
17.2%
Peterborough United - Port Vale Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Port Vale (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
EH +1 - Port Vale (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Peterborough United will win
(22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 63.37% – 93.77%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Peterborough United will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Port Vale (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bass A. (G) 33. Dornelly J. 30. Kioso P. 12. Lees T. (C) 23. Mills H. 4. Collins A. 8. Khela B. 36. Shofowoke B. 28. Garbett M. 17. Lisbie K. 27. Leonard H.
46. Gauci J. (G) 35. Magloire T. 5. Hall C. 27. Campbell E. 50. Hernandez O. 18. Croasdale R. (C) 26. Shipley J. 28. Ward G. 3. Headley J. 21. Sherif M. 11. Archer E.
Substitutes
39. Aderoju O. 11. Frith D. 18. Hayes C. 34. Kamara D. 26. Okagbue D. 31. Smith B. (G) 42. Sykut P.
13. Amos B. (G) 10. Brown D. 36. Bussell C. 15. Gordon L. 25. Humphreys C. 23. Shorrock J. 19. Waine B.
Coaches
Williams L.
Brady J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Croasdale R. ⚽, Hernandez O. (A),
16', 0 - 2, Archer E. ⚽,
31', 1 - 2, Dornelly J. ⚽, Garbett M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Hernandez O. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
55', Shofowoke B. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
59', 1 - 3, Archer E. ⚽,
64', Garbett M. ↓, Kamara D. ↑,
64', Kioso P. ↓, Aderoju O. ↑,
69', Kamara D. 🟨,
70', Magloire T. 🟨,
71', Headley J. ↓, Humphreys C. ↑,
83', Ward G. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
83', Sherif M. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
84', Khela B. ↓, Sykut P. ↑,
Preview
Postponed due to FA Cup.
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 5.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Port Vale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Peterborough has had a series of away games.
Peterborough might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Garbett M.
(Inactive)
Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Lees T.
(Inactive)
Mendy J.
(Inactive)
Mills H.
(Inactive)
Woods B.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G.
(Injury)
Croasdale R.
(Inactive)
Garrity B.
(Inactive)
Heneghan B.
(Injury)
Magloire T.
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:8. (average 1.8:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).
Outrights of English League One for now
Peterborough: 0.65%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
20
Peterborough
9
2
2
5
7:14
-7
8
Last Results with these Odds
Peterborough United - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.42%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Port Vale - the odds 3.38 are the expected chance of winning is 27.5%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Bass A. (G) 
Kioso P. 
Garbett M. 
Gauci J. (G) 
Hernandez O. 
Shipley J. 
Sherif M. 
Sykut P. 
Brown D. 
Gordon L. 
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