Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 13

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Paulo Coelho (Petrolina)


	Petrolina		Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.95	1.9
	4	3	1.95
	4	2.92	1.95
	4.02	3.03	1.97	Watch
	3.9	3	1.85
	4.03	3.05	1.92
	4	3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.31)	2.99 ↓ (3.05)	1.93 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrolina
22.8%

Draw
30.2%

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

29.8%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

22.6%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrolina than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Petrolina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Petrolina - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Joao Cabral ⚽,
45+1', Raykar 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 0 - 2, Didira ⚽,
73', 0 - 3, Junior Vicosa ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrolina SFC
Brazilian Serie D
07.07.24	Itabaiana - Petrolina	2:0 ✺
03.07.24	Petrolina - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
26.06.24	Retrô Brasil - Petrolina	1:0 ✺
16.06.24	Juazeirense - Petrolina	2:0 ✺
12.06.24	Petrolina - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLLT
- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D
07.07.24	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:2 ✺
04.07.24	Jacuipense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:0 ✺
26.06.24	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Juazeirense	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Retrô Brasil - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:0 ✺
12.06.24	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Itabaiana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
04.05.24	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Petrolina	1:0

Petrolina - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide