Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 9

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Petrópolis		Carapebus Campos

	1	X	2
	1.26	4.75	10.00
	1.27	4.40	9.20
	1.3	4.64	9.2
	1.26	4.60	8.85
	1.28	5.05	10.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.33)	4.69 ↑ (4.2)	9.47 ↑ (7.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrópolis
71.1%

Draw
19.3%

Carapebus Campos
9.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.3%

21.3%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

19.9%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Carapebus Campos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrópolis than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carapebus Campos than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Petrópolis - Carapebus Campos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, ⚽,
16', 2 - 1, ⚽,
33', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 5th and 12th in the Relegation - Carioca B2).

Petrópolis has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Carapebus has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Petrópolis could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Petrópolis as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Petrópolis has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:0.

Specifically in home fixtures for Petrópolis against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Goncalense	9	3	6	0	11:7	4	15
12	AA Carapebus	9	0	2	7	7:20	-13	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrópolis FC
Brazilian Carioca B1
20.10.26	Petrópolis - Serrano FC	1:1 ✺
17.10.26	Macaé - Petrópolis	0:1 ✺
09.10.26	Petrópolis - Artsul	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Campo Grande - Petrópolis	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Petrópolis - Audax Rio	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWTTW
- Carapebus Campos
Brazilian Carioca B1
21.10.26	Carapebus Campos - Goytacaz	0:2 ✺
17.10.26	Serrano FC - Carapebus Campos	3:0 ✺
10.10.26	Carapebus Campos - Niteroiense	1:3 ✺
03.10.26	Macaé - Carapebus Campos	4:3 ✺
25.09.26	Carapebus Campos - São Cristóvão	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B1
11.10.25	Petrópolis - Carapebus Campos	3:0

Petrópolis - Carapebus Campos