Match Info

Serie D - Round 13

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: CT Joao Saldanha (Rio de Janeiro)


	Maricá		Portuguesa

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	1.98
	2.45	2.98	2.72
	2.41	2.88	2.79
	2.42	3.13	2.87	Watch
	2.41	3.02	2.76
	3.36	3.22	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (3.65)	3.07 ↓ (3.35)	2.51 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Maricá
33.6%

Draw
29.8%

Portuguesa
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

26.8%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

26.8%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maricá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maricá's performance.

Portuguesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portuguesa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maricá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portuguesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maricá - Portuguesa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Maricá (1.64) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.5 - Maricá (1.71) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Maricá (votes: 8 - 80%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 0 - 1, Lohan ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Portuguesa is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

In recent matches, Maricá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Portuguesa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Portuguesa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maricá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maricá FC
Brazilian Serie D
12.07.25	Nova Iguaçu - Maricá	1:3 ✺
05.07.25	Maricá - Boavista	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Pouso Alegre - Maricá	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Porto Vitória - Maricá	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	Maricá - Água Santa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTTL
- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Serie D
12.07.25	Portuguesa - Água Santa	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Portuguesa	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Portuguesa - Porto Vitória	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Pouso Alegre - Portuguesa	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Portuguesa - Nova Iguaçu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
26.04.25	Portuguesa - Maricá	2:1

Maricá - Portuguesa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide