Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Peña Sport		Egüés

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.4	6.5
	1.52	4.34	5.09
	1.53	4.21	5.06
	1.49	4.1	5.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.53)	4.01 ↓ (4.15)	5.51 ↑ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Sport
60.6%

Draw
22.8%

Egüés
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

22%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

21.6%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Egüés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egüés than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Peña Sport - Egüés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peña Sport won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Peña Sport is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Peña Sport won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Peña Sport won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Valle Egues	5	1	2	2	8:9	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
07.03.26	Huarte - Peña Sport	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Oberena - Peña Sport	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Peña Sport - Izarra	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Bidezarra - Peña Sport	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Peña Sport - Txantrea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLW
- CD Egüés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
07.03.26	Aoiz - Egüés	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Egüés - Huarte	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Cortes - Egüés	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Egüés - Oberena	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Izarra - Egüés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
02.11.25	Egüés - Peña Sport	0:2
24.05.25	Egüés - Peña Sport	1:1
17.05.25	Peña Sport - Egüés	1:0
05.04.25	Egüés - Peña Sport	1:0
25.02.23	Egüés - Peña Sport	1:2
29.10.22	Peña Sport - Egüés	0:1
11.01.20	Egüés - Peña Sport	2:0

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