Match Info

Date: 30 September 2020, Wednesday


	Philadelphia Union II		Hartford Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.7	4	1.7
	3.85	3.65	1.7
	3.6	4.1	1.7
	3.45	4.76	1.75
	4.2	4.4	1.6
	4.75	4.05	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↓ (3.96)	4.16 ↓ (4.34)	1.67 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Union II
23.3%

Draw
22%

Hartford Athletic
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

21%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

17.9%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Union II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Hartford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hartford Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Philadelphia Union II - Hartford Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Philadelphia II has not chance of playoffs.

Hartford was already of playoffs, has a chance of qtrs (22%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Philadelphia II is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hartford is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Hartford is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Philadelphia II won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Philadelphia II won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Union II
USL Championship
26.09.20	New York Red Bulls 2 - Philadelphia Union II	5:4 ✺
23.09.20	Hartford Athletic - Philadelphia Union II	1:1 ✺
20.09.20	Philadelphia Union II - Hartford Athletic	0:3 ✺
16.09.20	Philadelphia Union II - Loudoun United	4:0 ✺
12.09.20	Loudoun United - Philadelphia Union II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTLWT
- Hartford Athletic
USL Championship
26.09.20	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Hartford Athletic	0:1 ✺
23.09.20	Hartford Athletic - Philadelphia Union II	1:1 ✺
20.09.20	Philadelphia Union II - Hartford Athletic	0:3 ✺
16.09.20	Hartford Athletic - New York Red Bulls 2	3:1 ✺
12.09.20	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Hartford Athletic	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
23.09.20	Hartford Athletic - Philadelphia Union II	1:1
20.09.20	Philadelphia Union II - Hartford Athletic	0:3
25.07.20	Hartford Athletic - Philadelphia Union II	3:2
01.08.19	Philadelphia Union II - Hartford Athletic	0:3
28.06.19	Hartford Athletic - Philadelphia Union II	0:3

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