Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Dillon Stadium (East Hartford)

Referee: Carlos Rivero J. (Usa)


	Hartford Athletic		New York Red Bulls 2

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.6	4.4
	1.6	3.7	4.7
	1.58	3.65	4.7
	1.65	3.8	5.17
	1.62	3.9	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.76)	3.73 ↓ (3.92)	4.73 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartford Athletic
56.4%

Draw
24.4%

New York Red Bulls 2
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

23.9%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

23.6%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

New York Red Bulls 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Hartford Athletic - New York Red Bulls 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 14).

Hartford has the most likely position - 10 (14.5%), has project points - 37, has currently - 4, has a chance of playoffs (20%), has a small chance of qtrs (8%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

New York Red Bulls 2 has the most likely position - 14 (35.27%), has project points - 27, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 8, very small importance 9, very small match rating 8. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartford won 3.

Hartford is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

New York Red Bulls 2 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Hartford is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Hartford won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Hartford won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartford Athletic
USL Championship
07.05.22	Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	Indy Eleven - Hartford Athletic	1:0 ✺
23.04.22	Hartford Athletic - Detroit City	1:2 ✺
US Open Cup
20.04.22	Hartford Athletic - New York Red Bulls	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
16.04.22	Miami - Hartford Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL
- New York Red Bulls 2
USL Championship
08.05.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Sacramento Republic	0:1 ✺
30.04.22	Detroit City - New York Red Bulls 2	2:0 ✺
23.04.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1 ✺
15.04.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Rio Grande Valley	0:1 ✺
02.04.22	Tulsa - New York Red Bulls 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
04.09.21	New York Red Bulls 2 - Hartford Athletic	2:0
10.07.21	Hartford Athletic - New York Red Bulls 2	2:2
05.06.21	Hartford Athletic - New York Red Bulls 2	7:0
30.04.21	New York Red Bulls 2 - Hartford Athletic	2:3
04.10.20	New York Red Bulls 2 - Hartford Athletic	0:2
16.09.20	Hartford Athletic - New York Red Bulls 2	3:1
15.08.20	Hartford Athletic - New York Red Bulls 2	2:1

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