Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 21

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Huai Ma Stadium (Phrae)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Phrae United		Mahasarakham

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.78	Watch
	2.08	3.78	2.77
	2.37	3.9	2.41	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.7
	2.17	3.7	2.7
	2.22	3.5	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.84)	3.63 ↑ (3.58)	2.67 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phrae United
41.3%

Draw
24.9%

Mahasarakham
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

25.6%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

25.1%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phrae United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Phrae United's form might have worsened.

Mahasarakham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mahasarakham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phrae United than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Phrae United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mahasarakham than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mahasarakham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Phrae United - Mahasarakham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Artserm K. ⚽,
45+3', 0 - 2, Takum P. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
58', 0 - 3, Lwin M. A. ⚽,
64', 0 - 4, Wander Luiz ⚽,
70', 0 - 5, Chote-Jirachaithon P. ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 6, Thongkui P. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Phrae may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Phrae is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Phrae won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Phrae won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Phrae	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4
16	Mahasarakham	4	0	3	1	3:6	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phrae United
Thai League 2
25.01.26	Chiangmai United - Phrae United	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Phrae United - Kasetsart	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Trat - Phrae United	2:2 ✺
23.12.25	Phrae United - Songkhla	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Phrae United - Police Tero	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWTTT
- Mahasarakham FC
Thai League Cup
28.01.26	Mahasarakham - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:0 ✺
Thai League 2
24.01.26	Kasetsart - Mahasarakham	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Mahasarakham - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Chiangmai United - Mahasarakham	2:0 ✺
Thai League Cup
28.12.25	Mahasarakham - Rayong FC	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
12.09.25	Mahasarakham - Phrae United	0:0
02.02.25	Mahasarakham - Phrae United	1:4
22.09.24	Phrae United - Mahasarakham	1:0

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