Match Info

Date: 3 April 2021, Saturday


	Piacenza		Lucchese

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	5.5
	1.55	3.5	5.5
	1.53	3.4	6.25
	1.55	3.4	5.8
	1.53	3.6	7.17
	1.8	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.58	3.58	5.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.93)	3.54 ↑ (3.25)	5.8 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piacenza
58.2%

Draw
26%

Lucchese
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.8%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

21.3%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piacenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piacenza's performance.

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucchese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piacenza than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Piacenza - Lucchese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Piacenza is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Piacenza won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Piacenza won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piacenza Calcio 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
28.03.21	Pro Sesto - Piacenza	1:3 ✺
21.03.21	Piacenza - Como	1:0 ✺
18.03.21	Novara - Piacenza	2:0 ✺
14.03.21	Piacenza - Alessandria	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Pro Patria - Piacenza	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLWL
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group A
28.03.21	Alessandria - Lucchese	5:2 ✺
21.03.21	Lucchese - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
17.03.21	Giana Erminio - Lucchese	4:3 ✺
14.03.21	Lucchese - Pro Sesto	0:1 ✺
07.03.21	Lucchese - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
13.12.20	Lucchese - Piacenza	1:0
18.04.19	Lucchese - Piacenza	1:2
16.12.18	Piacenza - Lucchese	1:0
11.02.18	Piacenza - Lucchese	1:0
01.10.17	Lucchese - Piacenza	0:1
23.12.16	Piacenza - Lucchese	1:2
28.08.16	Lucchese - Piacenza	1:1

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