Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 15

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Silvio Piola (Novara)


	Novara		Piacenza

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4
	1.78	3.35	4
	1.75	3.2	4
	1.75	3.47	4.28
	1.73	3.25	4.4
	1.7	3.58	4.45	Watch
	1.75	3.45	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.54)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	4.19 ↓ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
51.8%

Draw
26.7%

Piacenza
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

26.2%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

24.9%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Novara's form might have worsened.

Piacenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Piacenza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piacenza than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Piacenza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Novara - Piacenza Predictions

Users Predictions: Novara will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Novara is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Piacenza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Novara is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Novara won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Novara won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
19.11.22	Pordenone - Novara	1:0 ✺
12.11.22	Novara - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Juventus U23 - Novara	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Novara - Sangiuliano City Nova	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Padova - Novara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWW
- Piacenza Calcio 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
19.11.22	Lecco - Piacenza	3:1 ✺
12.11.22	Piacenza - Pordenone	0:3 ✺
06.11.22	Mantova - Piacenza	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.11.22	Piacenza - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
31.10.22	Piacenza - Padova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
18.03.21	Novara - Piacenza	2:0
09.12.20	Piacenza - Novara	3:3
03.02.19	Novara - Piacenza	0:0
07.10.18	Piacenza - Novara	0:3
Coppa Italia
06.08.17	Novara - Piacenza	1:2

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