Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 31

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday


	Alessandria		Lucchese

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.8	2.7
	2.6	2.65	2.88
	2.55	2.65	2.75
	2.66	2.69	2.91
	2.6	2.7	2.8
	2.61	2.84	2.85	Watch
	2.6	2.85	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.68)	2.74 ↑ (2.65)	2.81 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
34.9%

Draw
33%

Lucchese
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

33.6%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

34.5%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Alessandria - Lucchese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group B
05.03.23	Recanatese - Alessandria	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Alessandria - Vis Pesaro	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Sassari Torres - Alessandria	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Alessandria - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Pontedera - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTLTL
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
05.03.23	Lucchese - Ancona	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Montevarchi - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Lucchese - Vis Pesaro	3:0 ✺
12.02.23	Lucchese - Recanatese	1:3 ✺
04.02.23	Sassari Torres - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
05.11.22	Lucchese - Alessandria	1:2
Italian Serie C Group A
28.03.21	Alessandria - Lucchese	5:2
06.12.20	Lucchese - Alessandria	0:2
27.01.19	Lucchese - Alessandria	2:2
30.09.18	Alessandria - Lucchese	0:0
29.03.18	Alessandria - Lucchese	0:0
12.11.17	Lucchese - Alessandria	2:1

Alessandria - Lucchese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide