Match Info

Date: 17 March 2021, Wednesday


	Giana Erminio		Lucchese

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.75
	1.91	3	3.9
	1.95	2.9	4
	1.99	2.75	4
	2.06	2.98	4.32
	2	3	4
	2.09	2.95	3.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.21)	2.95 ↓ (3.01)	3.98 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
46%

Draw
31%

Lucchese
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.3%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

20.4%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucchese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giana Erminio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucchese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Giana Erminio - Lucchese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Giana Erminio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lucchese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Giana Erminio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Giana Erminio is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Giana Erminio won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Giana Erminio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
13.03.21	Pontedera - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Giana Erminio - Livorno	1:0 ✺
03.03.21	Piacenza - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
27.02.21	Giana Erminio - Pro Vercelli	1:2 ✺
21.02.21	Como - Giana Erminio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTLL
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group A
14.03.21	Lucchese - Pro Sesto	0:1 ✺
07.03.21	Lucchese - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
03.03.21	AlbinoLeffe - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
27.02.21	Lucchese - Olbia	1:1 ✺
21.02.21	Juventus U23 - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
22.11.20	Lucchese - Giana Erminio	0:1
14.04.18	Giana Erminio - Lucchese	0:2
26.11.17	Lucchese - Giana Erminio	0:3
06.05.17	Giana Erminio - Lucchese	1:0
18.12.16	Lucchese - Giana Erminio	1:2

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