Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 18

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Leonardo Garilli (Piacenza)


	Piacenza		Pro Patria

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.8	2.7
	2.7	2.63	2.75
	2.55	2.65	2.8
	2.72	2.53	3.05
	2.55	2.75	2.8
	2.52	2.92	2.82	Watch
	2.55	2.8	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.48)	2.73 ↓ (2.8)	2.82 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piacenza
34.9%

Draw
33.1%

Pro Patria
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

31.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

33%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piacenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piacenza than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-1%)

Piacenza - Pro Patria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Piacenza won 1.

Piacenza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pro Patria is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Piacenza won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Piacenza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piacenza Calcio 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
04.12.22	Pro Sesto - Piacenza	1:0 ✺
30.11.22	Piacenza - Triestina	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Novara - Piacenza	1:1 ✺
19.11.22	Lecco - Piacenza	3:1 ✺
12.11.22	Piacenza - Pordenone	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTLL
- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
04.12.22	Pro Patria - Lecco	2:0 ✺
30.11.22	Pordenone - Pro Patria	2:2 ✺
27.11.22	AlbinoLeffe - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
19.11.22	Pro Patria - Juventus U23	0:1 ✺
12.11.22	Novara - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
23.01.22	Pro Patria - Piacenza	2:2
19.09.21	Piacenza - Pro Patria	1:1
07.03.21	Pro Patria - Piacenza	3:0
11.11.20	Piacenza - Pro Patria	0:3
17.02.19	Piacenza - Pro Patria	1:0
21.10.18	Pro Patria - Piacenza	1:4

Piacenza - Pro Patria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide