Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 16

Date: 30 November 2022, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Leonardo Garilli (Piacenza)


	Piacenza		Triestina

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.7	2.6
	2.75	2.63	2.7
	2.7	2.6	2.65
	2.8	2.78	2.67
	2.8	2.7	2.62
	2.85	2.71	2.68	Watch
	2.75	2.75	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.44)	2.7 ↓ (2.87)	2.66 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piacenza
32.6%

Draw
33.5%

Triestina
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

31.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

30%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piacenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piacenza than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piacenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	25%	31.2%

Piacenza - Triestina Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Piacenza will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Triestina will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Piacenza: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Piacenza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Piacenza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piacenza Calcio 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
27.11.22	Novara - Piacenza	1:1 ✺
19.11.22	Lecco - Piacenza	3:1 ✺
12.11.22	Piacenza - Pordenone	0:3 ✺
06.11.22	Mantova - Piacenza	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.11.22	Piacenza - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLLWL
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
27.11.22	Triestina - Lecco	1:2 ✺
19.11.22	Vicenza Virtus - Triestina	4:0 ✺
12.11.22	Triestina - Renate	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Pro Patria - Triestina	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Triestina - Mantova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
23.02.22	Piacenza - Triestina	0:2
13.09.21	Triestina - Piacenza	2:2
Italian Serie C Group B
20.01.20	Piacenza - Triestina	1:2
08.09.19	Triestina - Piacenza	1:3

Piacenza - Triestina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide