Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 27

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio (Picerno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Picerno		Crotone

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.35	3.1	2.12	Watch
	3.42	3.1	2.22
	3.61	3.18	2.02	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.1
	3.22	3.22	2.23	Watch
	3.4	3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.53)	3.08 ↓ (3.27)	2.15 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Picerno
27.3%

Draw
29.8%

Crotone
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

27.9%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

26.5%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Picerno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crotone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Picerno - Crotone Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Crotone will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Crotone (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Marcone R. (G) 20. Gemignani A. 26. Bassoli A. 3. Bellodi G. 97. Rillo F. 27. Baldassin L. 44. Franco D. 93. Kanoute M. 17. Guadagni G. 99. Pugliese S. 90. Abreu L.	1. Merelli D. (G) 35. Novella M. 13. Armini N. 6. Di Pasquale D. 25. Guerra W. 14. Meli M. 7. Vinicius 21. Sandri M. 11. Energe A. 9. Gomez G. 96. Zunno M.
Substitutes
30. Bianchi S. 33. Bocic M. 77. Cardoni K. 9. Coppola G. 29. Del Fabro D. 25. Djibril M. 12. Esposito A. (G) 11. Esposito E. 4. Frison F. 10. Maiorino P. 63. Pistolesi F. 21. Salvo G. 1. Summa E. (G)	80. Bruno K. 32. Calvano S. 72. Cocetta N. 23. Groppelli F. 27. Maggio M. 10. Musso A. 76. Paciotti G. (G) 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 18. Piovanello E. 17. Russo D. 63. Veltri A. 77. Vrenna M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Bellodi G. ⚽,
28', Pugliese S. 🟨,
33', 2 - 0, Guadagni G. ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, Gomez G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zunno M. ↓, Maggio M. ↑,
46', Meli M. ↓, Musso A. ↑,
51', Sandri M. 🟨,
62', Pugliese S. ↓, Bianchi S. ↑,
62', Franco D. ↓, Maiorino P. ↑,
66', Energe A. ↓, Piovanello E. ↑,
68', Musso A. 🟨,
69', Di Pasquale D. ↓, Cocetta N. ↑,
78', Guadagni G. ↓, Salvo G. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Baldassin L. ⚽,
81', Guerra W. ↓, Bruno K. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Kanoute M. ↓, Cardoni K. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 2.

Recent performances by Picerno have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Crotone is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Picerno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Crotone is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Picerno won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Picerno	8	4	0	4	16:15	1	12
20	Crotone	9	1	3	5	10:15	-5	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
10.02.26	Foggia - Picerno	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Benevento - Picerno	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Picerno - Potenza	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Casarano - Picerno	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Picerno - Latina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWTT
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
10.02.26	Casertana - Crotone	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Crotone - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Siracusa - Crotone	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Crotone - Potenza	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Nuova Cosenza - Crotone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
04.10.25	Crotone - Picerno	3:0
27.01.25	Crotone - Picerno	0:0
22.09.24	Picerno - Crotone	5:2
Italian Serie C Group A
07.05.24	Picerno - Crotone	2:0
Italian Serie C Group C
15.02.24	Picerno - Crotone	0:0
08.10.23	Crotone - Picerno	2:1
04.03.23	Picerno - Crotone	1:1

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