The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Catania 71.9%
Draw 19.2%
Picerno 8.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.8%
22.1%
10.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71%
21.1%
9.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Catania - Picerno Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Catania will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
57. Dini A. (G) 24. Casasola T. 5. Miceli M. 29. Cargnelutti R. 3. Celli A. 14. Di Tacchio F. (C) 47. Di Noia G. 23. Lunetta G. 99. D'Ausilio M. 17. Bruzzaniti G. 18. Caturano S.
16. Marcone R. (G) 29. Del Fabro D. 3. Bellodi G. 26. Bassoli A. 20. Gemignani A. 30. Bianchi S. 44. Franco D. 25. Djibril M. 99. Pugliese S. 77. Cardoni K. 90. Abreu L. (C)
Substitutes
6. Allegretto A. 1. Bethers K. (G) 10. Cicerelli E. 12. Coco L. (G) 30. Corbari A. 28. Doni S. 20. Donnarumma D. 68. Ierardi M. 7. Jimenez K. 73. Pieraccini S. 16. Quaini A. 19. Raimo A.
27. Baldassin L. 33. Bocic M. 9. Coppola G. 12. Esposito A. (G) 11. Esposito E. 10. Maiorino P. 6. Marino A. 34. Maselli S. 63. Pistolesi F. 97. Rillo F. 21. Salvo G. 1. Summa E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 1 - 0, D'Ausilio M. ⚽,
21', Bellodi G. 🟨,
24', 1 - 1, Abreu L. ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, Bianchi S. ⚽,
39', Marcone R. 🟨,
40', Casasola T. 🟨,
45+2', Di Noia G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Di Noia G. ↓, Jimenez K. ↑,
56', Bianchi S. 🟨,
60', Bianchi S. ↓, Rillo F. ↑,
65', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
71', Cardoni K. ↓, Baldassin L. ↑,
71', Di Tacchio F. ↓, Quaini A. ↑,
73', Franco D. 🟨,
79', Jimenez K. 🟨,
83', Franco D. ↓, Maiorino P. ↑,
84', Pugliese S. ↓, Bocic M. ↑,
84', Cargnelutti R. ↓, Donnarumma D. ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catania won 2.
In recent matches, Catania has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Picerno is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Picerno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Catania is the obvious favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Catania won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.1:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Catania won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).