Match Info

Date: 27 November 2021, Saturday


	Monopoli		Paganese

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.4	6.25
	1.4	3.6	7
	1.48	3.7	6.2
	1.58	3.29	6.48
	1.53	3.5	7
	1.55	3.78	5.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.49)	3.55 ↓ (3.8)	6.46 ↓ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monopoli
60.3%

Draw
25.6%

Paganese
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

24.3%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75%

20.1%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monopoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Monopoli - Paganese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 15).

Monopoli is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paganese is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Monopoli is the unquestionable favorite.

In this match Monopoli is absolute favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Monopoli won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Monopoli won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
21.11.21	Potenza - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
14.11.21	Monopoli - Taranto	2:0 ✺
06.11.21	Vibonese - Monopoli	1:1 ✺
30.10.21	Monopoli - Nuova Monterosi	2:0 ✺
24.10.21	Catanzaro - Monopoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TWTWW
- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
20.11.21	Palermo - Paganese	3:0 ✺
14.11.21	Paganese - Fidelis Andria	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Foggia - Paganese	3:0 ✺
30.10.21	Paganese - Virtus Francavilla	2:1 ✺
24.10.21	Avellino - Paganese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
11.04.21	Monopoli - Paganese	3:1
20.12.20	Paganese - Monopoli	0:3
12.01.20	Monopoli - Paganese	0:1
31.08.19	Paganese - Monopoli	2:0
13.02.19	Paganese - Monopoli	1:3
16.10.18	Monopoli - Paganese	3:0
18.03.18	Monopoli - Paganese	1:1

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