Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 36

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Citta di Arezzo (Arezzo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251


	Arezzo		Livorno

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.34	4.55	8.2	Watch
	1.34	4.59	10.15
	1.32	4.57	8.82	Watch
	1.3	4	9
	1.33	4.3	8.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.44)	4.4 ↑ (4.07)	8.94 ↑ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arezzo
69%

Draw
20.8%

Livorno
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

22.6%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

21.5%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arezzo's performance.

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Arezzo - Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Venturi G. (G) 26. De Col F. 4. Coppolaro M. 19. Chiosa M. 37. Righetti S. 17. Ionita A. 8. Eklu S. M. 78. Iaccarino G. 30. Arena A. 71. Cianci P. 21. Tavernelli C.	12. Seghetti J. (G) 2. Gentile D. 5. Camporese M. 26. Noce M. 29. Tosto L. 7. Luperini G. 4. Odjer M. 44. Bonassi L. 95. Marchesi F. 13. Di Carmine S. 9. Dionisi F.
Substitutes
5. Casarosa M. 77. Di Chiara G. 12. Galli A. (G) 15. Gigli N. 13. Gilli M. 7. Guccione F. 91. Ravasio M. 6. Renzi A. 1. Trombini L. (G) 11. Varela Djamanca M. 23. Viviani M.	49. Baldi L. 14. Biondi K. 22. Ciobanu N. D. (G) 54. Falasco N. 15. Ghezzi S. 28. Hamlili Z. 20. Haveri K. 11. Malagrida L. 23. Marinari J. 55. Peralta D. 1. Tani F. (G) 19. Vayrynen T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Ionita A. ⚽,
18', Camporese M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Luperini G. ↓, Biondi K. ↑,
53', Tosto L. ↓, Peralta D. ↑,
53', Bonassi L. ↓, Falasco N. ↑,
61', Marchesi F. 🟨,
62', Dionisi F. ↓, Malagrida L. ↑,
63', Arena A. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
78', Falasco N. 🟨,
80', Cianci P. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
81', Eklu S. M. ↓, Viviani M. ↑,
81', Odjer M. ↓, Hamlili Z. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Varela Djamanca M. ⚽,
88', Iaccarino G. ↓, Guccione F. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Arezzo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arezzo is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Arezzo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Livorno	8	4	2	2	10:9	1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
04.04.26	Sambenedettese - Arezzo	0:0 ✺
30.03.26	Arezzo - Ascoli	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Bra - Arezzo	0:4 ✺
15.03.26	Arezzo - Perugia	1:1 ✺
09.03.26	Campobasso - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLWTW
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
03.04.26	Livorno - Gubbio	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Sassari Torres - Livorno	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Ravenna - Livorno	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Livorno - Carpi	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Forlì - Livorno	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
06.12.25	Livorno - Arezzo	2:1
Italian Serie D - Group E
12.03.23	Livorno - Arezzo	0:4
06.11.22	Arezzo - Livorno	1:1
Italian Serie C Group A
03.04.18	Arezzo - Livorno	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.11.17	Livorno - Arezzo	2:1
Italian Serie C Group A
08.10.17	Livorno - Arezzo	1:1
11.03.17	Arezzo - Livorno	1:0

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