Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 35

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Armando Picchi (Livorno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Livorno		Gubbio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	3	3.25	Watch
	2.22	3.1	3.51
	2.16	3.1	3.32	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.2
	2.15	2.94	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.2)	2.99 ↓ (3.22)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
42%

Draw
30.6%

Gubbio
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.6%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

28.5%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Livorno - Gubbio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Seghetti J. (G) 2. Gentile D. 26. Noce M. 5. Camporese M. 29. Tosto L. 4. Odjer M. 17. Panaioli L. 7. Luperini G. 95. Marchesi F. 11. Malagrida L. 13. Di Carmine S.	1. Bagnolini N. (G) 23. Bruscagin M. 15. Signorini A. 5. Di Bitonto A. 27. Podda L. 8. Rosaia G. 21. Carraro F. 6. Varone I. 3. Tentardini A. 77. Minta A. 19. La Mantia A.
Substitutes
49. Baldi L. 14. Biondi K. 44. Bonassi L. 22. Ciobanu N. D. (G) 15. Ghezzi S. 28. Hamlili Z. 20. Haveri K. 23. Marinari J. 77. Mawete J. C. 1. Tani F. (G) 19. Vayrynen T.	78. Conti V. 40. Costa G. 82. Djankpata H. 17. Fazzi N. 12. Krapikas T. (G) 11. Mastropietro F. 56. Tomasella M. (G) 34. Zallu F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', Panaioli L. ↓, Bonassi L. ↑,
6', Minta A. ↓, Mastropietro F. ↑,
19', Di Carmine S. 🟨,
21', Bruscagin M. 🟨,
45+1', Podda L. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Marchesi F. ⚽,
45+8', 2 - 0, Di Carmine S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Odjer M. ↓, Hamlili Z. ↑,
46', Bruscagin M. ↓, Fazzi N. ↑,
46', Varone I. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
62', Tentardini A. ↓, Zallu F. ↑,
68', Malagrida L. ↓, Vayrynen T. ↑,
68', Marchesi F. ↓, Biondi K. ↑,
73', Zallu F. 🟨,
73', Podda L. ↓, Djankpata H. ↑,
78', Rosaia G. 🟨,
89', 3 - 0, Bonassi L. ⚽,
90', Di Carmine S. ↓, Marinari J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Livorno is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Gubbio has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Livorno will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Livorno	8	4	2	2	10:9	1	14
17	Gubbio	9	2	1	6	10:18	-8	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
28.03.26	Sassari Torres - Livorno	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Ravenna - Livorno	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Livorno - Carpi	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Forlì - Livorno	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Livorno - Perugia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTTL
- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
29.03.26	Gubbio - Ravenna	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Juventus U23 - Gubbio	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Gubbio - Ascoli	1:3 ✺
08.03.26	Ternana - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Gubbio - Carpi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
29.11.25	Gubbio - Livorno	0:0
Club Friendly
28.07.19	Gubbio - Livorno	1:1
Italian Serie B
31.03.12	Gubbio - Livorno	1:2

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