Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 21

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Pioneros de Cancún		Dragones Toluca

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.98	5.24
	1.54	4.01	5.34
	1.44	3.9	5.5
	1.49	3.88	5.82
	1.57	3.65	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.57)	3.88 ↑ (3.65)	5.34 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pioneros de Cancún
59.8%

Draw
23.3%

Dragones Toluca
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

24.5%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

23.6%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pioneros de Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Dragones Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pioneros de Cancún than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dragones Toluca than the current prediction. (+1%)

Pioneros de Cancún - Dragones Toluca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 12).

Pioneros de Cancún has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dragones Toluca is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dragones Toluca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pioneros de Cancún is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pioneros de Cancún won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pioneros de Cancún
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
20.02.26	Cañoneros Marina - Pioneros de Cancún	3:2 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Jaguares de Chiapas	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Montañeses - Pioneros de Cancún	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Inter Playa Del Carmen	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Héroes de Zaci - Pioneros de Cancún	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLTW
- Dragones Toluca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.02.26	Dragones Toluca - Jaguares de Chiapas	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Montañeses - Dragones Toluca	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Dragones Toluca - Inter Playa Del Carmen	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Héroes de Zaci - Dragones Toluca	0:4 ✺
24.01.26	Dragones Toluca - Celaya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.10.25	Dragones Toluca - Pioneros de Cancún	2:0

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