Match Info

Paulista A2 - Second stage - Round 1

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra (Piracicaba)


	Piracicaba		Água Santa

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.05	2.76
	2.65	2.96	2.65	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.5
	2.56	2.86	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.11)	2.92 ↓ (3.16)	2.65 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Piracicaba
34.5%

Draw
31.2%

Água Santa
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

29%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

29.8%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piracicaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Piracicaba's form might have worsened.

Água Santa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Água Santa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piracicaba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Água Santa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Piracicaba - Água Santa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piracicaba won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Piracicaba won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.5:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Piracicaba - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.38%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- XV de Piracicaba
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
07.03.26	Piracicaba - Votuporanguense	5:1 ✺
01.03.26	CA Juventus - Piracicaba	3:0 ✺
25.02.26	Taubaté - Piracicaba	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Piracicaba - Internacional de Limeira	1:0 ✺
18.02.26	Linense - Piracicaba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLTWW
- EC Água Santa
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
07.03.26	Água Santa - Osasco Sporting	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Atlético Monte Azul - Água Santa	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Água Santa - Grêmio Prudente	4:3 ✺
21.02.26	Água Santa - Taubaté	2:3 ✺
18.02.26	Ituano - Água Santa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
21.01.26	Piracicaba - Água Santa	0:0
Brazilian Copa Paulista
16.09.22	Piracicaba - Água Santa	2:1
10.09.22	Água Santa - Piracicaba	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
20.04.21	Piracicaba - Água Santa	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
11.02.16	Piracicaba - Água Santa	0:0

Piracicaba - Água Santa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide