Match Info

Date: 14 August 2022, Sunday


	Pirata		Chavelines Juniors

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	3.9
	1.8	3.6	3.4
	1.75	3.55	3.9
	1.81	3.82	3.87
	1.75	3.3	3.3
	1.83	3.67	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.1)	3.57 ↑ (3.44)	3.73 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pirata
50.7%

Draw
25.2%

Chavelines Juniors
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

26.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

26.1%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pirata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pirata's performance.

Chavelines Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chavelines Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pirata than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pirata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chavelines Juniors than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chavelines Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Pirata - Chavelines Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pirata will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Chavelines Juniors will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 13).

Pirata has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chavelines Juniors is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chavelines Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Chavelines Juniors have a series of home games.

Pirata will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pirata won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Pirata won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pirata FC
Peruvian Liga 2
07.08.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Pirata	2:1 ✺
31.07.22	Pirata - Cusco	2:2 ✺
24.07.22	Unión Comercio - Pirata	4:1 ✺
17.07.22	Pirata - Comerciantes Unidos	1:2 ✺
10.07.22	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Pirata	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLLL
- Chavelines Juniors
Peruvian Liga 2
31.07.22	Chavelines Juniors - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	1:1 ✺
23.07.22	Cusco - Chavelines Juniors	Cusco awarded ✺
17.07.22	Chavelines Juniors - Unión Comercio	0:0 ✺
10.07.22	Comerciantes Unidos - Chavelines Juniors	4:0 ✺
03.07.22	Chavelines Juniors - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 T?TLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
15.05.22	Chavelines Juniors - Pirata	1:0
20.09.21	Pirata - Chavelines Juniors	2:1
22.07.21	Chavelines Juniors - Pirata	3:2

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