Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday


	Pirata		Comerciantes Unidos

	1	X	2
	12	6	1.18
	6.2	6.69	1.25
	12	5.5	1.17
	7.7	6.15	1.26
	3	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.18 ↑ (4.21)	5.59 ↑ (3.8)	1.37 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pirata
11.9%

Draw
17.4%

Comerciantes Unidos
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24.6%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

24.6%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pirata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pirata's form might have worsened.

Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Comerciantes Unidos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirata than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pirata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Comerciantes Unidos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Franco E. (G) 8. Alva P. 44. Barreda J. 6. Kambou H. 10. Lopez D. 5. Peralta M. (C) 13. Quevedo P. 19. Rey I. 7. Sanguinetti F. 22. Sebben M. 18. Villalobos J.	1. Anderson R. (G) 30. Bazan R. 7. Becerra P. 2. Canova J. 25. Lopez K. 23. Magallanes P. 3. Mena J. 28. Mendoza J. 5. Peral P. 9. Sen M. (C) 4. Valverde L.
Substitutes
14. Colchado L. 17. Ferreira P. 1. Huamanta J. C. (G) 4. Leon F. 11. Lozano T. 15. Paredes R. 16. Tavara A.	11. Aponza Y. 21. Campos D. (G) 22. Carbonel V. 13. Cuneo O. 29. Lopez J. 17. Saavedra C. 32. Salinas R.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Apertura: )).

Pirata is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Comerciantes Unidos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Comerciantes Unidos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Comerciantes Unidos is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pirata won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Pirata won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pirata FC
Peruvian Liga 2
12.09.23	Deportivo Coopsol - Pirata	2:0 ✺
06.09.23	Pirata - Deportivo Llacuabamba	0:3 ✺
29.08.23	Santos - Pirata	3:0 ✺
22.08.23	Pirata - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	4:1 ✺
08.08.23	Pirata - Carlos Stein	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWT
- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 2
14.09.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Unión Huaral	2:0 ✺
07.09.23	Comerciantes Belén - Comerciantes Unidos	2:2 ✺
31.08.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:0 ✺
23.08.23	Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos	2:1 ✺
16.08.23	Juan Aurich - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
26.06.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Pirata	5:0
17.07.22	Pirata - Comerciantes Unidos	1:2
17.04.22	Comerciantes Unidos - Pirata	1:1
13.08.21	Comerciantes Unidos - Pirata	3:3

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