Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Luis "Pirata" Fuente (Boca del Río)

Referee: Armenta J. E. H. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports


	Piratas de Veracruz		Correcaminos UAT

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.60	4.40
	1.67	3.65	4.30	Watch
	1.62	4.15	5.22
	1.6	4.1	5.16	Watch
	1.61	4.00	5.05
	1.65	3.80	5.00	Watch
	1.62	3.75	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.56)	3.86 ↓ (4.11)	4.83 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Piratas de Veracruz
56.9%

Draw
24%

Correcaminos UAT
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22.7%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

21.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piratas de Veracruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Correcaminos UAT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piratas de Veracruz than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Piratas de Veracruz - Correcaminos UAT Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Hernandez H. (C) 6. Cruz D. 4. Lopez A. 15. Palomares R. 3. Jaime Sanchez K. Y. 7. Soto O. 14. Gonzalez R. 16. Fernandez C. 28. Gamboa J. 9. Garcia F. 8. Figueroa B.	24. Resendez E. (G) 20. Estopier J. 11. Uribe Y. 3. Perez O. 19. Catalan A. 7. Islas O. 8. Torres D. (C) 10. Guzman W. 17. Zapata J. 29. Mendoza B. 32. Sandoval T.
Substitutes
26. Clemente J. 19. Doumbouya I. 18. Enciso A. 22. Garcia U. 30. Hidalgo R. C. 10. Lopez G. 17. Ochoa E. 1. Sanchez D. (G) 13. Sanchez D. 21. Vargas E.	101. Aguilar A. 27. Cantu J. 97. de Leon A. 12. Gomez Del Rosal N. 94. Lopez E. 33. Mina D. 5. Monarrez A. 1. Perez E. (G) 14. Sosa C.
Coaches
Garcia M.	Pereyra G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Garcia F. ⚽, Figueroa B. (A),
30', Estopier J. 🟨,
45', Mendoza B. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Sandoval T. ↓, Mina D. ↑,
46', Soto O. 🟨,
47', Palomares R. 🟨,
47', Jaime Sanchez K. Y. 🟨,
48', Mina D. 🟨,
50', Jaime Sanchez K. Y. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Estopier J. ⚽,
61', Estopier J. ↓, Cantu J. ↑,
61', Uribe Y. ↓, Gomez Del Rosal N. ↑,
76', Fernandez C. ↓, Clemente J. ↑,
76', Gamboa J. ↓, Ochoa E. ↑,
79', Gonzalez R. ↓, Garcia U. ↑,
80', Garcia F. ↓, Doumbouya I. ↑,
80', Zapata J. ↓, Sosa C. ↑,
85', Figueroa B. ↓, Vargas E. ↑,
86', Gomez Del Rosal N. 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Clemente J. ⚽, Cruz D. (A),
90+4', 3 - 1, Doumbouya I. ⚽, Soto O. (A),
90+5', Doumbouya I. 🟨,
90+8', 4 - 1, Soto O. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Piratas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Correcaminos is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Piratas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Piratas is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	16:10	6	18
9	Correcaminos	11	4	4	3	19:18	1	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piratas de Veracruz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
30.08.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Piratas de Veracruz	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Piratas de Veracruz - Cancún	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Atlético La Paz - Piratas de Veracruz	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Alacranes de Durango - Piratas de Veracruz	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Piratas de Veracruz - Atlético Morelia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLLWW
- Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
28.08.26	Correcaminos UAT - Alacranes de Durango	0:0 ✺
20.08.26	Atlético Morelia - Correcaminos UAT	1:3 ✺
14.08.26	Correcaminos UAT - Tapatío	2:3 ✺
06.08.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Correcaminos UAT	1:3 ✺
31.07.26	Correcaminos UAT - Tepatitlán de Morelos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 TWLWW

Upcoming Matches