Match Info

BULGARIA: PARVA LIGA - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 35

Date: 5 June 2023, Monday

Location: Hristo Botev (Blagoevgrad)

Referee: Ginchev G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Pirin Blagoevgrad		Spartak Varna

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	5
	1.6	4.24	4.76
	1.52	3.6	5.8
	1.57	4.05	5.75
	1.58	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.51)	3.98 ↓ (4.18)	5.3 ↓ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pirin Blagoevgrad
59.2%

Draw
23.3%

Spartak Varna
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

22.3%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

22.1%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pirin Blagoevgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirin Blagoevgrad than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Pirin Blagoevgrad - Spartak Varna Predictions

Users Predictions: Pirin Blagoevgrad will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kovalov M. (G) 19. Velev V. 72. Senhadji R. 38. Dyulgerov A. (C) 11. Yordanov A. 73. Benguzov V. 8. Semeniv D. 23. Tonev D. 18. Smolenski M. 7. Medved V. 14. Kondrakov D.	31. Figueiredo C. (G) 17. Belousov A. 66. Tsvetkov A. 3. Karamoko B. 11. Mitev V. (C) 22. Sierra R. 12. Ewandro 82. Yordanov I. 10. Rumenov R. 7. Mickels L. 27. Balanyuk D.
Substitutes
29. Bachev M. S. 21. Georgiev Y. (G) 6. Hubchev H. 25. Kostov I. 26. Tasev I. 15. Todorov L. 24. Tyutyukov B. 45. Yanev V. 9. Yordanov P.	21. Dichevski I. (G) 25. Dimov P. 20. Holder N. 23. Joao Mario 8. Klimentov I. 45. Nachev D.
Coaches
Yanev H.	Dimitrov D.

Preview

Pirin Blagoevgrad is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Spartak Varna is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Spartak Varna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pirin Blagoevgrad is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pirin Blagoevgrad won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Pirin Blagoevgrad won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pirin Blagoevgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
31.05.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:1 ✺
27.05.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Vratsa	2:0 ✺
21.05.23	Septemvri Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:0 ✺
12.05.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:1 ✺
07.05.23	Septemvri Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWLWW
- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
31.05.23	Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia	1:0 ✺
25.05.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - Spartak Varna	1:1 ✺
22.05.23	Spartak Varna - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Botev Vratsa - Spartak Varna	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	Cherno More Varna - Spartak Varna	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
11.11.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Spartak Varna	3:1
22.07.22	Spartak Varna - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:1
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
14.09.19	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Spartak Varna	2:2

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