The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Beroe Stara Zagora 47.4%
Draw 28.6%
Spartak Varna 24%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.5%
27.9%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.6%
28.5%
19.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beroe Stara Zagora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beroe Stara Zagora's form might have worsened.
Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beroe Stara Zagora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
23.8%
9.5%
Beroe Stara Zagora - Spartak Varna Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Beroe will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Spartak Varna will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Beroe: 46.5% โ 86.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 6.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Beroe Stara Zagora will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Quintero V. (G) 25. Johny 3. Salomoni J. (C) 4. Costantini F. 27. Dabo A. 17. Dual W. 24. Gavrilov S. 11. Ferrer I. 21. Salido Tajero A. 10. Nene 15. Alarcon F.
23. Kovalyov M. (G) 20. Lozev D. (C) 3. Juric-Petrasilo M. 44. Granchov A. 11. Georgiev A. 6. Pehlivanov Z. 88. Yordanov D. 8. Ivanov D. 7. Berna 21. Xande 90. Stojanovski G.
Substitutes
5. Caio Lopes 12. Georgiev M. 22. Georgiev M. 13. Georgiev S. (G) 2. Longinotti V. 8. Masogo A. 18. Rusenov S. 23. Sonha T. 16. Yovkov S.
4. Aleksiev I. 50. Budinov I. 9. Halachev D. 17. Marinov T. 13. Millimono T. 18. Moukachar S. 93. Pahama N. 1. Shalamanov-Trenkov I. (G) 19. Yanchev E.
Coaches
Sageras A.
Hadzievski G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Lozev D. 🟨,
44', Salomoni J. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Yordanov D. 🟨,
68', Yordanov D. ↓, Pahama N. ↑,
72', Dabo A. ↓, Sonha T. ↑,
73', Dual W. ↓, Caio Lopes ↑,
74', Juric-Petrasilo M. 🟨,
86', Nene ↓, Masogo A. ↑,
87', Ivanov D. ↓, Marinov T. ↑,
90+2', Salido Tajero A. ↓, Georgiev M. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 4.
Beroe is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Spartak Varna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, Beroe is considered a favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:4. (average 2.4:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Beroe won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).
Bulgaria
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Quintero V. (G) 
Johny 
Costantini F. 
Dabo A. 
Dual W. 
Gavrilov S. 
Kovalyov M. (G) 
Juric-Petrasilo M. 
Stojanovski G. 
Masogo A. 
Millimono T. 
Moukachar S. 
Pahama N. 
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