Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Pisa		Brescia

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.93	3.3	3.9
	2	3.1	4	Watch
	1.99	3.21	4.6
	2.09	3.18	3.87	Watch
	1.91	3.25	4.2
	1.97	3.16	4.4	Watch
	1.84	3.35	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.93)	3.24 ↓ (3.35)	4.18 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
48.2%

Draw
29.2%

Brescia
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

28.2%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

27.7%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Pisa - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: Pisa will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Semper A. (G) 5. Canestrelli S. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 94. Bonfanti G. 36. Piccinini G. 6. Marin M. 28. Abildgaard O. 20. Beruatto P. 11. Tramoni M. 32. Moreo S. 9. Bonfanti N.	1. Lezzerini L. (G) 18. Jallow A. 28. Adorni D. 32. Papetti A. 24. Dickmann L. 25. Bisoli D. (C) 6. Verreth M. 39. Besaggio M. 19. Corrado N. 26. Bertagnoli M. 11. Moncini G.
Substitutes
3. Angori S. 30. Arena A. 33. Calabresi A. 8. Hojholt M. 74. Jevsenak Z. 70. Leoncini M. 45. Lind A. 22. Loria L. (G) 7. Mlakar J. 1. Nicolas Andrade (G) 17. Rus A. 15. Toure I.	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 9. Bianchi F. 8. Bjarnason B. 29. Borrelli G. 16. Buhagiar T. 5. Calvani G. 21. Fogliata R. 33. Muca Z. 20. Nuamah P. 4. Paghera F.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	Maran R.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pisa won 1.

Pisa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Brescia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Pisa is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Pisa won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Pisa won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
15.09.24	Salernitana - Pisa	2:3 ✺
31.08.24	Pisa - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
27.08.24	Cittadella - Pisa	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Pisa - Palermo	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Pisa - Spezia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWTWT
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
14.09.24	Brescia - Frosinone	4:0 ✺
31.08.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Brescia	1:2 ✺
27.08.24	Reggiana - Brescia	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Brescia - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
16.08.24	Brescia - Palermo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
06.04.24	Brescia - Pisa	3:1
25.11.23	Pisa - Brescia	1:1
13.05.23	Brescia - Pisa	1:1
17.12.22	Pisa - Brescia	3:0
Coppa Italia
06.08.22	Pisa - Brescia	1:4
Italian Serie B
06.04.22	Pisa - Brescia	0:0
27.11.21	Brescia - Pisa	0:1

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