Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 5

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Referee: Ghersini D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Brescia		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.65	3	2.7
	2.6	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.72	3.14	2.92
	2.65	3.06	2.89	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3
	2.66	3.1	2.81	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.37)	3.11 ↓ (3.14)	2.82 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
36.4%

Draw
30.3%

Frosinone
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

29.8%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29.4%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Brescia - Frosinone Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Frosinone will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lezzerini L. (G) 15. Cistana A. 28. Adorni D. 18. Jallow A. 6. Verreth M. 27. Olzer G. 25. Bisoli D. 39. Besaggio M. 19. Corrado N. 23. Galazzi N. 7. Juric A.	13. Sorrentino A. (G) 3. Marchizza R. 4. Biraschi D. 14. Gelli F. 20. Oyono A. 28. Di Stefano F. 30. Monterisi I. 55. Darboe E. 70. Partipilo A. 74. Tsadjout F. 79. Bracaglia G.
Substitutes
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 26. Bertagnoli M. 9. Bianchi F. 8. Bjarnason B. 29. Borrelli G. 5. Calvani G. 24. Dickmann L. 21. Fogliata R. 11. Moncini G. 20. Nuamah P. 4. Paghera F. 32. Papetti A.	10. Ambrosino G. 11. Begic T. 1. Frattali P. (G) 16. Garritano L. 23. Kalaj S. 17. Kvernadze G. 77. Machin J. 21. Oyono J. 90. Pecorino E. 99. Sene F. 8. Vural I. 6. Zaknic L.
Coaches
Maran R.	Vivarini V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Juric A. ⚽, Bisoli D. (A),
19', 2 - 0, Juric A. ⚽, Bisoli D. (A),
35', 3 - 0, Olzer G. ⚽, Galazzi N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Di Stefano F. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
48', Darboe E. 🟨,
53', Besaggio M. 🟨,
57', Darboe E. 🟥,
59', Besaggio M. ↓, Bertagnoli M. ↑,
59', Corrado N. ↓, Dickmann L. ↑,
63', Biraschi D. ↓, Begic T. ↑,
64', Partipilo A. ↓, Vural I. ↑,
74', Tsadjout F. ↓, Pecorino E. ↑,
77', Juric A. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
78', Galazzi N. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
78', Bracaglia G. ↓, Kalaj S. ↑,
82', Gelli F. 🟨,
83', 4 - 0, Moncini G. (Pen),
84', Olzer G. ↓, Fogliata R. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 1.

Recent matches Brescia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Frosinone is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Frosinone have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Brescia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
31.08.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Brescia	1:2 ✺
27.08.24	Reggiana - Brescia	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Brescia - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
16.08.24	Brescia - Palermo	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
11.08.24	Brescia - Venezia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLLWW
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
01.09.24	Frosinone - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
27.08.24	Frosinone - Modena	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Spezia - Frosinone	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Frosinone - Sampdoria	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
12.08.24	Frosinone - Pisa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
22.01.23	Brescia - Frosinone	1:3
21.08.22	Frosinone - Brescia	3:0
20.02.22	Brescia - Frosinone	2:2
20.09.21	Frosinone - Brescia	2:2
13.03.21	Frosinone - Brescia	0:1
28.11.20	Brescia - Frosinone	1:2
Club Friendly
07.09.19	Brescia - Frosinone	3:2

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