Match Info

Serie A - Round 2

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Pisa		Roma

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.5	1.73	Watch
	4.8	3.6	1.73
	4.95	3.55	1.75	Watch
	5.62	3.6	1.74
	38.07	7.45	1.11	Watch
	4.8	3.4	1.73
	5.32	3.55	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.83 ↑ (5.4)	4.09 ↑ (3.8)	1.65 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
10.7%

Draw
25.6%

Roma
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

25.2%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

24.6%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pisa's form might have worsened.

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pisa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2%	12.2%	85.7%

Pisa - Roma Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Roma (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Roma will win (42 of 48 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.14% – 96.86%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Semper A. (G) 47. Mateus Lusuardi 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 5. Canestrelli S. 15. Toure I. 6. Marin M. 20. Aebischer M. 3. Angori S. 32. Moreo S. 10. Tramoni M. 9. Meister H.	99. Svilar M. (G) 22. Hermoso M. 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 43. Wesley Franca 4. Cristante B. 17. Kone M. 3. Angelino 18. Soule M. 92. El Shaarawy S. (C) 11. Ferguson E.
Substitutes
14. Akinsanmiro E. 16. Buffon L. 33. Calabresi A. 11. Cuadrado J. 77. Durmush M. 8. Hojholt M. 7. Leris M. 72. Maucci G. 76. Mbambi J. 12. Nicolas Andrade (G) 18. Nzola M. 36. Piccinini G. 22. Scuffet S. (G) 23. Stengs C.	68. Arena A. 35. Baldanzi T. 19. Celik Z. 9. Dovbyk A. 21. Dybala P. 8. El Aynaoui N. 87. Ghilardi D. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 91. Zelezny R. (G)
Coaches
Gilardino A.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Marin M. 🟨,
33', Ferguson E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', El Shaarawy S. ↓, Dybala P. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Soule M. ⚽, Ferguson E. (A),
64', Mateus Lusuardi ↓, Calabresi A. ↑,
64', Tramoni M. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
65', Moreo S. ↓, Nzola M. ↑,
73', Ferguson E. ↓, Dovbyk A. ↑,
82', Hermoso M. ↓, Celik Z. ↑,
83', Marin M. ↓, Stengs C. ↑,
83', Angori S. ↓, Leris M. ↑,
90+6', Meister H. 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Pisa have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Roma is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Pisa has had a series of away games.

In this match, Roma is the team to beat.

There will not play in Pisa: Beruatto P. (Shoulder Injury) Esteves T. (Tendon Injury) Lind A. (Illness) Vural I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Roma: Bailey L. (Thigh Injury) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Salah-Eddine A. (Inactive)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie A
24.08.25	Atalanta - Pisa	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.25	Cesena - Pisa	0:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.25	Pistoiese - Pisa	1:1 ✺
08.08.25	Augsburg - Pisa	2:2 ✺
05.08.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Pisa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWTTL
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
23.08.25	Roma - Bologna	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.25	Roma - Neom	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Everton - Roma	0:1 ✺
06.08.25	Aston Villa - Roma	4:0 ✺
02.08.25	Lens - Roma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWLW

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