The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Manchester United 41%
Draw 24.6%
Roma 34.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.8%
25.4%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
27%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Manchester United - Roma Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Roma will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Man Utd is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Roma shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Roma may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Roma has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Man Utd has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 11:7 (averaging 3.7:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Man Utd against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 9:4 goals (averaging 4.5:2 per game).
Standings
League phase
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
AS Roma
3
1
1
1
8:5
3
4
20
Manchester Utd
3
1
0
2
5:6
-1
3
Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now
AS Roma: 1.35%
Last Results with these Odds
Manchester United - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.75%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Roma - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.82%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.