Match Info

Date: 29 April 2021, Thursday


	Manchester United		Roma

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	7
	1.5	4.4	6.25
	1.5	4.45	6.75
	1.48	4.4	6
	1.51	4.51	6.69
	1.5	4.2	6.5
	1.53	4.65	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)	4.44 ↑ (4.3)	6.67 ↑ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
64.1%

Draw
21.6%

Roma
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

22.3%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.1%

18.6%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	5.7%	5.7%

Manchester United - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (185 of 209 users predict this - 88.52%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.2% – 92.84%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg. No spectators.

Man Utd was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, was already of semis, has a good chance of final (79%), has a chance of win league (48%).

Roma was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, was already of semis, has a chance of final (21%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

Man Utd in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Roma is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Man Utd could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Man Utd is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Man Utd won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
25.04.21	Leeds United - Manchester United	0:0 ✺
18.04.21	Manchester United - Burnley	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.04.21	Manchester United - Granada	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
11.04.21	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.04.21	Granada - Manchester United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWWW
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
25.04.21	Cagliari - Roma	3:2 ✺
22.04.21	Roma - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
18.04.21	Torino - Roma	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.04.21	Roma - Ajax	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
11.04.21	Roma - Bologna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

International Champions Cup
26.07.14	Manchester United - Roma	3:2

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