Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 3
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 2
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 4, CANAL+ Sport, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Moji, Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Claro Sports
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Paraguay	ESPN 3
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 2
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 12, M+ Liga de Campeones 6
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Sport 2
Turkey	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 5
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	VIX App


	Roma		Bologna

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5
	1.78	3.6	4.5
	1.75	3.75	5
	1.75	3.65	5.28
	1.71	3.7	5.24	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.8
	1.73	3.72	5.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.85)	3.65 ↑ (3.37)	5.04 ↑ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
55%

Draw
26.1%

Bologna
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

28.2%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

31.1%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.8%	17.9%	5.4%

Roma - Bologna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Bologna (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bologna (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Roma will win (43 of 55 users predict this - 78.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.26% – 89.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 8 - 80%). Bologna (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 22. Hermoso M. 19. Celik Z. 4. Cristante B. (C) 17. Kone M. 43. Wesley Franca 61. Pisilli N. 92. El Shaarawy S. 14. Malen D.	13. Ravaglia F. (G) 20. Zortea N. 41. Vitik M. 26. Lucumi J. 17. Joao Mario 8. Freuler R. 4. Pobega T. 10. Bernardeschi F. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 11. Rowe J. 9. Castro S.
Substitutes
70. De Marzi G. (G) 8. El Aynaoui N. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 7. Pellegrini Lo. 2. Rensch D. 12. Tsimikas K. 78. Vaz R. 97. Zaragoza B. 24. Ziolkowski J.	28. Cambiaghi N. 16. Casale N. 24. Dallinga T. 30. Dominguez B. 82. Franceschelli M. (G) 14. Heggem T. 22. Lykogiannis C. 6. Moro N. 21. Odgaard J. 7. Orsolini R. 25. Pessina M. (G) 23. Sohm S.
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', Kone M. ↓, Pellegrini Lo. ↑,
22', 0 - 1, Rowe J. ⚽, Castro S. (A),
26', Vitik M. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Ndicka E. ⚽, Pellegrini Lo. (A),
45+2', 1 - 2, Bernardeschi F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Celik Z. 🟨,
57', El Shaarawy S. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
58', 1 - 3, Castro S. ⚽, Rowe J. (A),
69', 2 - 3, Malen D. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Zortea N. 🟨,
73', Vitik M. ↓, Casale N. ↑,
73', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
73', Rowe J. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
76', Lucumi J. 🟨,
79', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
80', 3 - 3, Pellegrini Lo. ⚽, Vaz R. (A),
87', Gasperini G. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
91', Pobega T. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
104', Pisilli N. ↓, El Aynaoui N. ↑,
108', Freuler R. 🟨,
109', Celik Z. ↓, Zaragoza B. ↑,
111', 3 - 4, Cambiaghi N. ⚽, Dallinga T. (A),
114', Freuler R. ↓, Heggem T. ↑,
116', Ferguson L. 🟨,
120+3', Italiano V. 🟨,
120+3', Mancini G. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 1.

Recent performances by Roma have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bologna is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Roma is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Roma: Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) Dybala P. (Knee Injury) Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Venturino L. (Inactive) Zelezny R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) De Silvestri L. (Muscle Injury) Fauske Helland E. (Inactive) Miranda J. (Yellow Cards) Skorupski L. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Celik Z. (Injury) Soule M. (Groin Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roma won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
15.03.26	Como - Roma	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Bologna - Roma	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
08.03.26	Genoa - Roma	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Roma - Juventus	3:3 ✺
22.02.26	Roma - Cremonese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLTW
- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
15.03.26	Sassuolo - Bologna	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Bologna - Roma	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
08.03.26	Bologna - Verona	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Pisa - Bologna	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Bologna - Brann	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Bologna - Roma	1:1
Italian Serie A
23.08.25	Roma - Bologna	1:0
12.01.25	Bologna - Roma	2:2
10.11.24	Roma - Bologna	2:3
22.04.24	Roma - Bologna	1:3
17.12.23	Bologna - Roma	2:0
14.05.23	Bologna - Roma	0:0

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