Match Info

Coppa Italia - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena)

Where to Watch on TV:


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United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Usa	Paramount+


	Cesena		Pisa

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.2
	2.95	3.1	2.3
	3.5	3.25	2.25
	3.55	3.22	2.27
	3.30	3.22	2.19	Watch
	3	3	2.4
	3.41	3.21	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.91)	3.17 ↑ (3.11)	2.26 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
28.6%

Draw
29.7%

Pisa
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

30.7%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pisa's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Cesena - Pisa Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Pisa (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pisa (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Klinsmann J. (G) 14. Berti T. 19. Zaro G. 24. Mangraviti M. 11. Ciervo R. 15. Ciofi A. (C) 10. Bastoni S. 25. Bisoli D. 99. Frabotta G. 9. Shpendi C. 7. Blesa J.	1. Semper A. (G) 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 33. Calabresi A. 5. Canestrelli S. 15. Toure I. 6. Marin M. 20. Aebischer M. 3. Angori S. 10. Tramoni M. 45. Lind A. 32. Moreo S.
Substitutes
17. Adamo E. 6. Arrigoni T. 29. Balde S. 13. Celia R. 39. Fontana N. (G) 70. Francesconi M. 18. Guidi M. 23. Magni V. 26. Piacentini M. 1. Siano A. (G) 77. Tosku F. 35. Zamagni D.	14. Akinsanmiro E. 11. Bonfanti N. 16. Buffon L. 43. Casarosa M. 7. Cuadrado J. 77. Durmush M. 8. Hojholt M. 37. Leris M. 76. Mbambi J. 18. Nzola M. 36. Piccinini G. 96. Scuffet S. (G)
Coaches
Mignani M.	Gilardino A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Zaro G. 🟨,
44', Marin M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Tramoni M. 🟨,
71', Blesa J. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
71', Bisoli D. ↓, Francesconi M. ↑,
72', Marin M. ↓, Akinsanmiro E. ↑,
72', Tramoni M. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
72', Moreo S. ↓, Nzola M. ↑,
79', Mangraviti M. ↓, Piacentini M. ↑,
83', Berti T. ↓, Arrigoni T. ↑,
83', Ciervo R. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
83', Aebischer M. ↓, Hojholt M. ↑,
84', Angori S. ↓, Leris M. ↑,
85', Calabresi A. 🟨,
89', Calabresi A. 🟨,
90+3', Francesconi M. 🟨,
90+5', Nzola M. 🟨,
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Balde S. (Pen),
1, Cuadrado J. (Pen),
2, Shpendi C. (Pen),
2, Toure I. (Pen),
3, Adamo E. (Pen),
3, Leris M. (Pen),
4, Arrigoni T. (Pen),
4, Canestrelli S. (Pen),
5, Bastoni S. (Pen),
5, Nzola M. (Pen),

Preview

Pisa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cesena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Pisa has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Mantova - Cesena	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Forlì - Cesena	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
17.05.25	Catanzaro - Cesena	1:0 ✺
13.05.25	Modena - Cesena	0:1 ✺
09.05.25	Nuova Cosenza - Cesena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLWW
- AC Pisa
Club Friendly
14.08.25	Pistoiese - Pisa	1:1 ✺
08.08.25	Augsburg - Pisa	2:2 ✺
05.08.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Pisa	3:0 ✺
30.07.25	Empoli - Pisa	2:3 ✺
27.07.25	Pisa - Pro Vercelli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
16.02.25	Cesena - Pisa	1:1
05.10.24	Pisa - Cesena	3:1
Coppa Italia
25.09.24	Pisa - Cesena	0:1
Italian Serie B
08.04.17	Pisa - Cesena	0:1
13.11.16	Cesena - Pisa	2:0

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