Match Info

Serie B - Round 38

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Cosso F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Pisa		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.9	3.4	Watch
	2.05	2.95	4.2
	2.31	2.95	3.35	Watch
	2.36	3.04	3.6
	2.33	2.98	3.33	Watch
	1.7	3.3	5
	2.37	2.92	3.42	Watch
	2.31	2.95	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.8)	3 ↓ (3.5)	3.71 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pisa
42.7%

Draw
31.7%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.6%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

29.6%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pisa's form might have worsened.

Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pisa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Südtirol-Alto Adige, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	25%	15%

Pisa - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Südtirol will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pisa: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Pisa (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Südtirol (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Südtirol (1.56) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Pisa (votes: 1 - 10%). Südtirol (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Loria L. (G) 5. Canestrelli S. 17. Rus A. 13. Sussi C. 15. Toure I. 8. Hojholt M. 21. Solbakken M. 27. Castellini A. 10. Vignato E. 80. Morutan O. 45. Lind A.	31. Adamonis M. (G) 34. Veseli F. 19. Pietrangeli N. 5. Masiello A. 30. Giorgini A. 8. Mallamo A. 6. Martini J. 20. Belardinelli L. 24. Davi S. 33. Merkaj S. 9. Gori G.
Substitutes
28. Abildgaard O. 3. Angori S. 30. Arena A. 94. Bonfanti G. 33. Calabresi A. 4. Caracciolo Ant. 25. Ferrari T. 14. Meister H. 1. Nicolas Andrade (G) 36. Piccinini G. 66. Sernicola L. 11. Tramoni M.	17. Casiraghi D. 14. Davi F. . Halili R. 16. Lamanna E. (G) 90. Odogwu R. 1. Poluzzi G. (G) 99. Praszelik M. 18. Pyyhtia N. 21. Tait F. 3. Testa S. 63. Vergani E.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	Castori F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Mallamo A. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Gori G. (Pen),
39', 1 - 2, Lind A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Hojholt M. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
57', Martini J. 🟨,
59', Morutan O. 🟨,
60', Mallamo A. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
66', Sussi C. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
66', Vignato E. ↓, Meister H. ↑,
66', Morutan O. ↓, Sernicola L. ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Pietrangeli N. ⚽,
69', Rus A. 🟨,
75', Gori G. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
78', 2 - 3, Sernicola L. ⚽,
82', Merkaj S. ↓, Casiraghi D. ↑,
82', Davi S. ↓, Davi F. ↑,
83', Martini J. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
83', Toure I. ↓, Ferrari T. ↑,
84', Meister H. 🟨,
90+2', Pyyhtia N. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 3, Rus A. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 11).

Pisa is Qualified for Serie A

Recent performances by Pisa have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Südtirol is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Pisa is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Pisa: Esteves T. (Tendon Injury) Leris M. (Injury)

There will not play in Südtirol: Arrigoni T. (Broken ankle) Ceppitelli L. (Inactive) El Kaouakibi H. (Yellow Cards) Kofler R. (Yellow Cards) Molina S. (Yellow Cards) Praszelik M. (Inactive) Rover M. (Yellow Cards) Vimercati A. (Injury) Zedadka K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Südtirol: Kofler R. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pisa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Pisa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
04.05.25	Bari - Pisa	1:0 ✺
01.05.25	Pisa - Frosinone	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	Brescia - Pisa	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Reggiana - Pisa	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Pisa - Modena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWL
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
04.05.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Palermo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Juve Stabia	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Salernitana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cesena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
19.10.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Pisa	1:2
05.05.24	Pisa - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:2
11.11.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Pisa	1:2
04.02.23	Pisa - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1
04.09.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Pisa	2:1

Upcoming Matches