Match Info

Serie B - Round 38

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Marco Druso (Bolzano)

Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Juve Stabia

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.77	3.5	4.5
	1.6	3.7	5.5	Watch
	1.66	3.8	6.25
	1.55	3.99	5.95	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5.75
	1.65	3.66	5.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.8)	3.68 ↑ (3.46)	5.65 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
57.8%

Draw
25.6%

Juve Stabia
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

26.5%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Südtirol-Alto Adige's performance.

Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.6%	7.8%	1.6%

Südtirol Alto Adige - Juve Stabia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Südtirol (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Südtirol-Alto Adige will win (58 of 64 users predict this - 90.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.49% – 97.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Südtirol-Alto Adige will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Südtirol (votes: 14 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Adamonis M. (G) 94. El Kaouakibi H. 19. Pietrangeli N. 34. Veseli F. 79. Molina S. 21. Tait F. (C) 18. Tronchin S. 17. Casiraghi D. 24. Davi S. 33. Merkaj S. 9. Pecorino E.	23. Boer P. (G) 46. Diakite S. 14. Dalle Mura C. 6. Bellich M. 2. Ricciardi M. 10. Pierobon C. (C) 28. Torrasi E. 17. Ciammaglichella A. 76. Mannini M. 37. Maistro F. 9. Gabrielloni A.
Substitutes
1. Borra D. (G) 46. Brik D. 89. Crnigoj D. 23. Davi F. 26. Frigerio M. R. 4. Mancini D. 6. Martini J. 5. Masiello A. 90. Odogwu R. 11. Tonin R. 99. Verdi S. 7. Zedadka K.	7. Burnete R. 77. Cacciamani A. 27. Candellone L. 24. Carissoni L. 33. Giorgini A. 21. Kassama S. 55. Leone G. 70. Matheu P. 98. Mosti N. 90. Okoro A. 16. Signorini A. (G) 8. Zeroli K.
Coaches
Castori F.	Abate I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Gabrielloni A. ⚽, Maistro F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Maistro F. ↓, Zeroli K. ↑,
46', Bellich M. ↓, Giorgini A. ↑,
46', Diakite S. ↓, Kassama S. ↑,
56', Veseli F. ↓, Zedadka K. ↑,
56', Tait F. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Crnigoj D. ⚽, Zedadka K. (A),
62', Ciammaglichella A. ↓, Candellone L. ↑,
64', Casiraghi D. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
64', Tronchin S. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
74', Pecorino E. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
82', Ricciardi M. ↓, Matheu P. ↑,
90', Zedadka K. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Südtirol is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Juve Stabia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Südtirol is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Südtirol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sudtirol	6	3	3	0	9:3	6	12
19	Juve Stabia	6	1	3	2	5:8	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
01.05.26	Sampdoria - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Mantova	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Spezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	6:1 ✺
11.04.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Modena	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Cesena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTT
- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
01.05.26	Juve Stabia - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Pescara - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Juve Stabia - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Juve Stabia - Cesena	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Venezia - Juve Stabia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.12.25	Juve Stabia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0
27.04.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Juve Stabia	2:0
06.12.24	Juve Stabia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1

Südtirol-Alto Adige - Juve Stabia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide