Match Info

Serie B - Round 32

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Perri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Pisa		Modena

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	3.9	Watch
	1.85	3.2	4.4
	1.91	3.3	4.1	Watch
	1.88	3.3	4.32	Watch
	1.91	3.1	4.4
	1.93	3.53	3.93	Watch
	1.91	3.3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.89)	3.32 ↑ (3.26)	4.16 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
49.3%

Draw
28.2%

Modena
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

28.7%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

28.1%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Pisa - Modena Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Pisa (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Pisa will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pisa will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pisa (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Semper A. (G) 5. Canestrelli S. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 94. Bonfanti G. 15. Toure I. 8. Hojholt M. 6. Marin M. 3. Angori S. 80. Morutan O. 32. Moreo S. 14. Meister H.	26. Gagno R. (G) 6. Magnino L. 19. Zaro G. 33. Cauz C. 18. Di Pardo A. 8. Santoro S. 16. Gerli F. (C) 27. Idrissi R. 10. Palumbo A. 9. Gliozzi E. 20. Caso G.
Substitutes
28. Abildgaard O. 30. Arena A. 16. Buffon L. 33. Calabresi A. 27. Castellini A. 45. Lind A. 22. Loria L. (G) 1. Nicolas Andrade (G) 36. Piccinini G. 17. Rus A. 66. Sernicola L. 21. Solbakken M.	78. Bagheria F. (G) 5. Battistella T. 31. Botteghin E. 21. Bozhanaj K. 23. Caldara M. 92. Defrel G. 7. Duca E. 93. Kamate I. 11. Mendes P. 24. Oliva M. 1. Seculin A. (G) 14. Vulikic S.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	Mandelli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Canestrelli S. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Santoro S. ⚽, Di Pardo A. (A),
35', Cauz C. 🟨,
42', Gerli F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Meister H. ↓, Lind A. ↑,
46', Canestrelli S. ↓, Rus A. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Gliozzi E. ⚽,
54', Toure I. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
54', Hojholt M. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
64', Rus A. 🟨,
70', Marin M. ↓, Solbakken M. ↑,
70', Gerli F. ↓, Battistella T. ↑,
71', Idrissi R. ↓, Duca E. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Moreo S. ⚽,
78', Gliozzi E. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
78', Caso G. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
84', Solbakken M. 🟨,
90', Palumbo A. ↓, Caldara M. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 10).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Pisa is a favorite.

There will not play in Pisa: Esteves T. (Tendon Injury) Leris M. (Injury) Vignato E. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Modena: Cotali M. (Yellow Cards) Defrel G. (Injury) Dellavalle A. (Injury) Pergreffi A. (Knee Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pisa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.2:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Pisa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
29.03.25	Nuova Cosenza - Pisa	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Pisa - Mantova	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Spezia - Pisa	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Sassuolo - Pisa	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Pisa - Juve Stabia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLW
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
29.03.25	Modena - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Juve Stabia - Modena	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Salernitana - Modena	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Modena - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Cittadella - Modena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
21.12.24	Modena - Pisa	1:0
28.02.24	Pisa - Modena	2:2
02.09.23	Modena - Pisa	2:0
11.03.23	Modena - Pisa	1:0
23.10.22	Pisa - Modena	4:2

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